Tessera
Folgen

lunaria/sapphire

@hackquantumcpp.bsky.social

Math/stats & physics/astro enthusiast | Data & election nerd | Pro-housing, pro-transit | Anti-carceral, socialist, urbanist | Abolish ICE, Free Palestine I run @snoutcounter.bsky.social Profile pic and banner from APOD (APOD 1/14/26 & 7/7/26)

608 Posts158 Follower212 Folgt
Jack Jenkins@jackjenkins.me · 1h ago

Big subtext: Hamilton is proving to be a hard target for the GOP. When Vance attacked his faith, a local UMC bishop and 120 UMC pastors issued statements defending him. When his competitor Sen. Marshall called him a pastor who is "too woke for Kansas," Marshall's *own pastor* suggested otherwise.

But the attacks have also revealed the positive reputation Hamilton has forged among his co-religionists. Last week, David Wilson, the United Methodist bishop who oversees Hamilton’s regional conference, published a statement dismissing attacks on Hamilton by Vance and Marshall as “inaccurate and unwarranted,” describing them as an “invective against the church, of which Adam is the founding pastor.”“The language used, in effect, criticizes fellow Christians merely for living up to what Jesus taught in the Gospel texts,” wrote Wilson, who oversees the Great Plains Annual Conference. A few days later, 120 UMC pastors from across the state signed a public letter to Marshall, urging the senator and the Vice President to tone down the rhetoric. “When you attack Adam’s pastoral ministry, his home congregation, and our denomination as a whole, you sow seeds of division and dissent,” read the letter. “You tear at the fabric that is the body of Christ.” And when Marshall derided Hamilton in August as a “megachurch pastor that’s too woke for Kansas,” Hamilton’s campaign quickly noted that the pastor of Marshall’s own non-denominational church has publicly referred to Hamilton as a “middle-of-the-road pastor who is willing to listen to all sides.”
Jack Jenkins@jackjenkins.me · 3h ago

NEW: Last month, I flew to Kansas to speak with Rev. Adam Hamilton, the megachurch pastor running for Senate — as a Democrat. He talked to me about "progressive evangelicalism," and I talked to his congregants. And here's the thing: he has a real chance of winning. religionnews.com/2026/09/23/h...

VoteHub@votehub.com · 8m ago

🚨 LAUNCH — VoteHub’s 2026 Early Vote Tracker is LIVE. Track ballot returns and, for the first time, see who we think is actually AHEAD right now, plus what the trailing candidate needs on Election Day to catch up. Rolling out for every battleground Senate and governor race.

ryan cooper@ryanlcooper.com · 9h ago

they were wishcasting. they thought "well, it's not exactly great that Trump won, but at least he is going to take the wokes down a peg or three. we are frankly eager for him to curb stomp MeToo, BLM, Gaza protestors, every union organizer, etc"

Rob Tracinski@tracinski.bsky.social · 9h ago

What was really up with all that "vibe shift" stuff after the 2024 election? Like, what was the environment like, what was going on with members of the media that they bought this? I'm genuinely curious.

lunaria/sapphire@hackquantumcpp.bsky.social · 21h ago

Friends don't let friends unskew the polls! Instead, friends tell friends that industry-wide polling error is not predictable and varies significantly in both magnitude and direction from cycle to cycle. Your final "unskewed" topline will probably be wrong!

jamelle@jamellebouie.net · 22h ago

i think you can fairly say that the second trump administration is the most racist federal administration since woodrow wilson and honestly i'm not sure that it isn't more racist than wilson's

Rodger Sherman@rodger.bsky.social · 22h ago

Tough competition of course, but the Trump admin deciding that white South Africans are the only group of people on earth currently worthy of refugee status has to be the most overtly racist thing any administration has done in decades

Brad Lander@bradlander.bsky.social · yesterday

Meekly allowing the corporate concentration of American media, in the hands of people who have already shown fealty to the Trump regime — at the very time he is trying to dictate who can cover the White House — is a depressing capitulation.

Robert Prinz@prinzrob.bsky.social · yesterday

This is essentially the decision before voters. Except it should be a giant SUV not a trolley, because if the transit measure fails the SF cable car service will also be eliminated.

Trolley problem meme for “Bay Area regional transit measure”, with the options being “pass: higher sales tax” with one person on the tracks or “fail: wreck the entire local economy” with five people on the tracks
Robert Prinz@prinzrob.bsky.social · yesterday

SPUR’s new report details how catastrophic it will be for Bay Area transit riders if the public transit funding Measure RTM fails. But drivers will feel it too, w an estimated doubling of Bay Bridge crossing times and more than 3X longer through the Caldecott Tunnel. www.spur.org/sites/defaul...

Robert Prinz@prinzrob.bsky.social · yesterday

SPUR’s new report details how catastrophic it will be for Bay Area transit riders if the public transit funding Measure RTM fails. But drivers will feel it too, w an estimated doubling of Bay Bridge crossing times and more than 3X longer through the Caldecott Tunnel. www.spur.org/sites/defaul...

“The Bay Area's Top Three Highway Bottlenecks After Potential Transit Cuts The Bay Bridge, Caldecott Tunnel, and I-680 in Walnut Creek/Concord would experience some of the most significant travel delays in both directions if looming cuts to transit service are not prevented. Bay Bridge +33 MINUTES A.M. PEAK +43 MINUTES P.M. PEAK Caldecott Tunnel +20 MINUTES A.M. PEAK +27 MINUTES P.M. PEAK 1-680 (Walnut Creek/Concord) +15 MINUTES A.M. PEAK +20 MINUTES P.M. PEAK”“EXHIBIT 4 Traffic Delays at Most Current Highway Bottlenecks Would Double With Proposed Transit Service Cuts Line and station closures and reduced service frequency would compel transit users to drive, worsening current highway bottlenecks. Source: SPUR-Jacobs.”
Robert Prinz@prinzrob.bsky.social · 2d ago

CA early voting starts October 5th. Before filling out your ballot make sure to check @bikeeastbay.bsky.social's election hub at BikeEastBay.org/Election2026 Find East Bay candidate questionnaires, ballot/proposition endorsements, & volunteer opportunities! More to be added in the coming weeks.

SnoutCounter@snoutcounter.bsky.social · yesterday

House forecast update, 9/22/2026 Chamber Win Probability: 🔵Democrats: 77.5% (🔺1.4%) 🔴Republicans: 22.5% (🔻1.4%) Mean Simulated Seats: 🔵Democrats: 237.2 (🔺1) 🔴Republicans: 197.8 (🔻1) (🔺/🔻 Change from Yesterday)

Map showing forecast probabilities for each House seat as of September 22, 2026
Urban Land Rent 🇸🇴🚰@urbanlandrent.bsky.social · yesterday

We really need to do more to raise the salience about the partisan nature of jobs like “car dealer” and “chiropractor” the same way conservatives have done to teachers and scientists. Dem elites need to do more to signal to their base that small business tyrants are their enemies.

Sam@samd.bsky.social · yesterday

stumbled upon the first Ken Paxton supporter on insta that I’ve seen in a while and of course he’s a fucking used car dealer next dem administration needs to crush these extractive jobs that just funnel donations to the far right: used car dealer, crypto scammer, sports betting websites, etc

officialjasonharwood 4d Clearly my bros and sistas need to stop voting blue. I know it's what their parents did and parents parents, but it has accomplished nothing and gotten worse. How's the new property tax increase going? Blue votes won. protecting_account_ 3d @officialjasonharwood Republicans have run Texas for 30 years straight. No wonder it's gotten worse Reply rbinhouston2000 3d @protecting_account_ Don't worry. He was just posting from the wrong account. He thought he was posting from his burner. Reply officialjasonharwood 3d • Edited @rbinhouston2000 nope. My Personal account. Observing the sadness in the Jewish community that they feel obligated to vote Democrat. Enjoy the higher property taxes that your blue men and women voted for.
Taniel@taniel.bsky.social · yesterday

A post that’s so eye-opening because this is exactly what liberals will say is GOP distraction tactics, almost as a parody— and here it really is what Gaetz is saying unironically as his GOP message.

Bild
VoteHub@votehub.com · yesterday

RATINGS CHANGE — VoteHub's forecast moves the Kansas U.S. Senate race to Lean Republican, giving Republican Roger Marshall a 79% chance of winning. Trump won the state by 16 points in 2024.

Bild