What is truly "shocking" about the polling miss in Michigan is that it is completely average for a primary "The expected error on the margin between two primary candidates in a race for governor or U.S. Senate is a whopping 13.0 points." blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/2026-texas...

Do we really know who's leading the Texas Senate races?

Primary polls have historically been rather unreliable, and a surge in new primary voters means turnout assumptions matter more than usual

blog.fiftyplusone.news

|horses|@chemotaxis.bsky.social · 11h ago

Polling is like really fucked. Strikes me as a huge problem honestly.

it's time for my midweek existential crisis

Mike Rogers wants us divided. But there is so much more that unites us than sets us apart. The power is ours. This land was made for you and me.

Looking thru the timeline on hump day

A *huge* thanks to everyone who joined in for what turned into a 6-hour marathon of Michigan results last night. This was one of the biggest audiences we’ve had - I was amazed to see how many stayed up to the end with us. And now we’re on to WI, SC, MN and CT next Tuesday!

Steve Kornacki (unofficial bot)@stevekornacki.bluesky.bot · 21h ago

Going live moments from now! Here's the link to watch, hope you'll join in. Should be one heck of a night! www.youtube.com/live/j… www.youtube.com/live/j…

You know you’re a pathetic worthless loser when Adam Schiff is able to toy with you like a cat batting around a mouse before tearing its head clean off

Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com · 4h ago

SCHIFF: When Trump ran against Hillary Clinton, who won? CANDEUB: Um. Trump was certified as winner S: Did he in fact win? C: He was certified S: Do you have some doubt about if he won? C: I have no doubt he was certified S: When did it become so difficult to answer such a simple question?

New York might legalise bathhouses 👀👀👀

My immediate conclusion here is that the MAGA base is so racist that they can’t even bring themselves to vote for a black man named Amir Hassan that Trump endorsed. So instead they choose a white dude named Tom Smith who dropped out three weeks ago. www.politico.com/news/2026/08...

Trump-backed candidate in battleground Michigan district loses to opponent who dropped out

Amir Hassan lost to Tom Smith, who had suspended his campaign but is now jumping back into the race for the purple 8th District.

politico.com

This is Fran. She decided to make you a bowl of her famous bean soup. The secret ingredient is toe beans. 13/10 (TT: franfrannoodles)

stigmata??? More like stigMAMA slay the boots house down cawk

FLO cover “Midnight Sun” by Zara Larsson on BBC Radio 1 Live Lounge.

If Democrats control the White House in 2031 the commerce Secretary should put a question on the census to ask your pronouns and if you don’t fill it out it doesn’t count

2018 debate stage, Michigan Democratic governor primary. Quite a journey these three have been on. (Photo credit: AP)

finally gonna see the twink tonight (spiderman)

Everything that has happened today has been a v good sign for dem ability to hold mi-sen

people can do gay things

I've never met a Dorito I didn't like. until today

a republican is not winning in michigan with a 38% trump approval rating lol

BREAKING: Kamala Harris officially endorses Abdul El-Sayed for U.S. Senate in Michigan.

A prime example of the Democratic Party not being as divided as the media portrays it to be

#StupidSuez@diplomatofnight.com · 5h ago

The co-founder of the 2024 National Uncommitted Movement, Abbas Alawieh, decisively won his primary to become a State Senator in Michigan. Abbas was endorsed by both Bernie Sanders and Gretchen Whitmer. Abbas Alawieh also privately met with former VP Kamala Harris last month upon her request.

voting in the election for either Ford Carr or Bonita Gooch

Taking my time to really listen and learn from the very valid concerns of the MAHA movement:

Memento (artemis) Morty 🌙@mementomorty.bsky.social · 5h ago

we should hear MAHA out about this they might be onto something

music, fashion, film

Pop Base@popbase.tv · 5h ago

Rihanna is actively working on new music, A$AP Rocky reveals: “She in the studio right now.[…] Like, bro, she working. She cooking, no funny sh*t. Damn, I’ma get in trouble for this.” (youtu.be/o7OOxa2F8EM?...)

There’s a guy on TikTok who posts just him taking a pizza out of the oven every day with tongs and all of the comments are about how their day is ruined from having watched this

National Democrats see a path toward winning all 8 of Colorado’s congressional districts in 2026

National Democrats see a path toward winning all 8 of Colorado’s congressional districts in 2026

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee on Wednesday added Colorado’s 3rd and 4th congressional districts to its list of “districts in play” this year

coloradosun.com

Is he saying he’d need more than two days to break his kid’s bones

Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com · 8h ago

NEWSMAX: Your daughter fractured her collarbone and there was a handprint on her upper chest, and it left a bruise. How did that happen? MAX MILLER: What I can tell you is I didn't do that. 9 of the 11 previous days was my ex-wife's care. What's so troubling about child protective services is ...

‘SPIDER-MAN: BRAND NEW DAY’ has already grossed over $1.1B at the worldwide box office.