Latin American presidentialism remains an institutional project in motion w/ reforms affecting executive authority, legislative procedures, coalition governance, electoral systems, judicial oversight, & the mechanisms linking voters & elected reps. Submit to PS by 9/17! #polisky shorturl.at/gO5co
J. Luis Rodriguez
@jluisrodriguez.com
Assistant Professor at George Mason's Schar School of Policy and Government | Affiliate at Stanford CISAC | Adjunct non-resident fellow at CSIS PONI | PhD from Johns Hopkins | International security, international law, and Global South | 🇺🇸 🇲🇽 🏳️🌈
EJIL: The Podcast! Episode 45: The Nuclear Order Under Threat | by Anna Hood
EJIL: The Podcast! Episode 45: The Nuclear Order Under Threat
The international nuclear realm is under severe strain. Since the 1960s, the international community has constructed a dense web of laws to govern nuclear matters. However, over the past decade, a wav...
ejiltalk.org
My job market paper is now out in World Politics! Why do some small states excel in IO politics, when conventional theory tells us that powerful states should dominate? I argue and show that small state diplomats outperform their peers from wealthy, powerful states because they are more experienced!
Can small powers set the #UN agenda? @sabrinabarias.bsky.social assembled a #dataset of proposed agenda items & the tenure of small states' #ambassadors from 1946 to 2018 to support her argument that they can. Have a read of her article in the July issue: doi.org/10.1353/wp.2... #research #evidence
EXCITING NEWS. WE’RE HIRING! The Nuclear Information Project at FAS is hiring for a full-time, early career position to support both research and operations. Please share widely and apply by June 28! @scientistsorg.bsky.social fas.org/career/resea...
Research and Program Associate, Nuclear Information Project - Federation of American Scientists
The Federation of American Scientists is seeking a Research and Program Associate to join our Nuclear Information Project team.
fas.org
With the expiration of New START, the final major pillar of bilateral arms control has collapsed. We are living without enforceable nuclear constraints for the first time since the 1970s. The May issue of @thebulletin.org is out: "The Very Uncertain Future of Arms Control." 🧵 1/6
Schar School Associate Professor Jennifer Nicoll Victor breaks down Virginia’s Supreme Court ruling on redistricting, why timing mattered, and what comes next for Virginia politics. Watch: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qzn9FAr5yJI
How does China expand its nuclear arsenal while posing as a champion of disarmament? At the 2026 NPT Review Conference, Beijing is deploying a highly effective diplomatic shield: the Non-Aligned Movement (NAM). 1/6 🧵
The CISAC Fellowship program is expanding for the 2026–2027 academic year, with applications now open for two new fellowship opportunities! The deadline to apply is June 8, 2026. Click here for more information and how to apply⤵️ cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/cisac-fellow...
CISAC Fellowships
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu
Ukraine lost a key counteroffensive push not because of enemy fire, but because a private company turned off the internet. This is what modern warfare looks like.
The Illusion of Sovereignty: How International Law and Big Tech are Eroding the State
Caught between two hammers — international law and technological dependence on the private sector — modern state sovereignty is in crisis. When a state
warontherocks.com
@mbudjeryn.bsky.social Structure Amid Change (JSS) shows how, despite the Soviet collapse, nuclear weapons were consolidated under Russia rather than proliferated—underscoring how the global nuclear order shaped what outcomes were seen as possible and legitimate. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Structure amid change: The global nuclear order and the Soviet collapse
By 1991, the USSR, one of the two Cold War nuclear superpowers, ceased to exist. Yet the resulting post-Cold War era did not fully reflect these tectonic shifts. The collapse of a nuclear state did...
tandfonline.com
We have long said that an accident anywhere is an accident everywhere. I also think an accident anytime is an accident for all time. We can (and I would say must) get nuclear energy right to address the climate crisis but we have to learn from the past. carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...
Chernobyl Is Still a Current Event, Forty Years Later
The 1986 incident showed that a nuclear accident anytime is a nuclear accident for all time.
carnegieendowment.org
My book is now published online, and will be in print 5 May! 🤓 Online version: academic.oup.com/book/62632 Pre-order your copy (or ask your university library to do so) here: global.oup.com/academic/pro... For review copies, see here for more info: global.oup.com/academic/pre...
The Technocratic International: Experts and the Making of a World from Nowhere
Abstract. How did experts become central actors in international affairs? The Technocratic International tells the surprisingly neglected story of how nine
eur01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com
My book “The Technocratic International” now has a cover — out this summer! global.oup.com/academic/pro...
If you're in New York on Monday for the Review Conference of the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, make sure to stop by this side event organized by @chathamhouse.org. I'll talk about nuclear preferences and policies in the Global South and the role of nuclear-weapon-free zones.
Don't think I've ever been as terrified in all the Trump security crises. As @pkrugman.bsky.social said, "It’s the most astonishing, awful thing that I’ve ever seen, and we’ve all seen a lot of awful things." Mainly as cope, and to teach it, I keep asking why. 1/ open.substack.com/pub/paulkrug...
Living in Hell
War crimes coming: A horrifying update
open.substack.com
📢 NOW OPEN: Second Call for Proposals from the Consortium to Reduce Nuclear Dangers. We seek innovative, action-oriented work that presents a credible path to reducing nuclear dangers. Learn more and apply: www.carnegie.org/news/article... #NuclearThreats #NuclearSecurity #FundingOpportunity
Second Call for Proposals: Grants to Support Reducing Nuclear Dangers | Carnegie Corporation of New York
Consortium to Reduce Nuclear Dangers invites applications to address today’s nuclear risks
carnegie.org
Russia has submitted its national report to the 2026 NPT Review Conference (currently only in Russian – link in the first comment). Much of it is as you would expect if you have been following recent developments, but there are some pretty significant changes. A thread 🧵 1/15
It’s crystal clear now that Trump has lost control of this war. He badly misjudged Iran’s ability to retaliate. The region is on fire. 1/ I’m going to explain to you in this🧵what I’ve learned - in part from closed door briefings - about the four biggest current crises.
The Shield seeks to address serious security and narcotics issues in Latin America. But a detail-light, ‘Trumpista-only’ alliance repeats past mistakes in Latin America. https://bit.ly/4rmIkOC
Trump’s ‘Shield of the Americas’ coalition is destined to fail
The Shield seeks to address serious security and narcotics issues in Latin America. But a detail-light, ‘Trumpista-only’ alliance repeats past mistakes in Latin America.
chathamhouse.org
In @nytopinion.nytimes.com Far from choosing sides between the U.S. and China, “Latin American leaders are increasingly adept at performing the public rituals of alignment required by Washington while quietly doubling down on their commercial ties with Beijing,” writes Oliver Stuenkel.
Opinion | Latin Americans Already Have a Serious Partner — and It’s Not Trump
President Trump’s efforts to force the Western Hemisphere into alignment will keep falling short.
nyti.ms
In a new @justsecurity.org article, CISAC Senior Fellow Tom Dannenbaum & Rebecca Hamilton respond to Shany and Cohen, rejecting claims that the attacks on Iran represent “principled” violations of international law & warning of the risks to the rule-based order. www.justsecurity.org/133417/aggre...
Aggression, Plain and Simple: A Response to Shany and Cohen on the Attack on Iran
Legal academics debate the state of international law and international institutions in light of the US-Israel-Iran War.
justsecurity.org
🧵Feels like shouting into the void, but it is essential to note that the Trump/Rubio gutting of the State Department and blowtorching of US diplomatic capacity and credibility is an accelerant to this spiraling war and will seriously undercut US/allied efforts to pick up the pieces after. 1/
Conceptualizing and Measuring Geopolitical Alignments - www.annualreviews.org/content/jour...
Conceptualizing and Measuring Geopolitical Alignments
A vast literature examines how geopolitical alignments influence militarized conflict, trade, investment, aid, and other outcomes in international relations. Yet, considerable ambiguity remains regard...
annualreviews.org
Fantastic analysis by @nicolegrajewski.bsky.social! thebulletin.org/2026/02/isra...
Israel and the US strike Iran. It is a tragedy of Tehran's own making
Iran's strategy rested on the critical assumption that the US administration preferred a deal to a war. That proved fatal on Saturday.
thebulletin.org
Can conventional technologies now produce “nuclear effects”? Harold Trinkunas and Herb Lin argue that emerging technologies in conventional warfare can now achieve effects once reserved for nuclear weapons. Read the full article at: tnsr.org/roundtable/e... #StrategicStability #EmergingTech
"Today, the Brazilian Supreme Court announced that they had convicted the masterminds behind the assassination of socialist Rio de Janeiro City Councilwoman Marielle Franco guilty on all counts." massive news in Brazil today, writeup by @mikeelk.bsky.social paydayreport.com/rio-police-c...
Rio Police Chief & Congressman Convicted in Assassination of Socialist Rio Councilwoman Marielle Franco
The court found that the former Chief of Rio de Janeiro Civil Police Rivaldo Barbosa, Brazilian Congressman Chiquinho Brazão, and his brother, Rio State Auditor General Domingos Brazão, were responsib...
paydayreport.com
In a new article, CISAC affiliates Lauren Sukin and J. Luis Rodriguez, along with colleague Stephen Herzog, challenge the idea that nuclear deterrence and disarmament are opposites, drawing on new global survey data from 24 countries. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Rethinking the Deterrence-Disarmament Dichotomy: The Complex Landscape of Global Nuclear Weapons Preferences | Perspectives on Politics | Cambridge Core
Rethinking the Deterrence-Disarmament Dichotomy: The Complex Landscape of Global Nuclear Weapons Preferences
cambridge.org
I’m writing this post to share a new article, co-authored with @mmgarrity.bsky.social, that examines eliminationist politics and proposes an analytical framework for their study, published in @scmrjems.bsky.social www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... nationalisky | polisky 1/8
Eliminationist politics: an analytical framework
The study of eliminationist policies – deliberate actions by state or non-state actors aimed at destroying, removing, or erasing groups based on salient identity categories – has yielded significan...
tandfonline.com
Finally out! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... Longer post to come but for now, key take-aways: international pressure matters, domestic pressure matters, international treaty law (however contested) matters, and super importantly these days, civil servants who believe in international law matter!
Stealth Change: How the United States and the United Kingdom Embraced International Humanitarian Limits on Nuclear Use
This article analyzes how American and British policy shifted, from rejecting to accepting the applicability of the law of armed conflict (LOAC) to nuclear use. Through a study of primary and secon...
tandfonline.com