J. Luis Rodriguez

@jluisrodriguez.com

Assistant Professor at George Mason's Schar School of Policy and Government | Affiliate at Stanford CISAC | Adjunct non-resident fellow at CSIS PONI | PhD from Johns Hopkins | International security, international law, and Global South | 🇺🇸 🇲🇽 🏳️‍🌈

My job market paper is now out in World Politics! Why do some small states excel in IO politics, when conventional theory tells us that powerful states should dominate? I argue and show that small state diplomats outperform their peers from wealthy, powerful states because they are more experienced!

World Politics@worldpolitics.bsky.social · 2mo ago

Can small powers set the #UN agenda? @sabrinabarias.bsky.social assembled a #dataset of proposed agenda items & the tenure of small states' #ambassadors from 1946 to 2018 to support her argument that they can. Have a read of her article in the July issue: doi.org/10.1353/wp.2... #research #evidence

Colorful image of World Politics journal covers

How does China expand its nuclear arsenal while posing as a champion of disarmament? At the 2026 NPT Review Conference, Beijing is deploying a highly effective diplomatic shield: the Non-Aligned Movement (NAM). 1/6 🧵

Terraces of mined rock below the entrances of the tunnels at China’s Lop Nur Nuclear Test Site could indicate their mined volumes, including any “decoupling” volume that could be used to reduce the seismic signal of a test. (Credit: Image courtesy of Planet Labs and the Middlebury Institute)

We have long said that an accident anywhere is an accident everywhere. I also think an accident anytime is an accident for all time. We can (and I would say must) get nuclear energy right to address the climate crisis but we have to learn from the past. carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...

Chernobyl Is Still a Current Event, Forty Years Later

The 1986 incident showed that a nuclear accident anytime is a nuclear accident for all time.

carnegieendowment.org

If you're in New York on Monday for the Review Conference of the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, make sure to stop by this side event organized by @chathamhouse.org. I'll talk about nuclear preferences and policies in the Global South and the role of nuclear-weapon-free zones.

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Russia has submitted its national report to the 2026 NPT Review Conference (currently only in Russian – link in the first comment). Much of it is as you would expect if you have been following recent developments, but there are some pretty significant changes. A thread 🧵 1/15

It’s crystal clear now that Trump has lost control of this war. He badly misjudged Iran’s ability to retaliate. The region is on fire. 1/ I’m going to explain to you in this🧵what I’ve learned - in part from closed door briefings - about the four biggest current crises.

In @nytopinion.nytimes.com Far from choosing sides between the U.S. and China, “Latin American leaders are increasingly adept at performing the public rituals of alignment required by Washington while quietly doubling down on their commercial ties with Beijing,” writes Oliver Stuenkel.

Opinion | Latin Americans Already Have a Serious Partner — and It’s Not Trump

President Trump’s efforts to force the Western Hemisphere into alignment will keep falling short.

nyti.ms

In a new @justsecurity.org article, CISAC Senior Fellow Tom Dannenbaum & Rebecca Hamilton respond to Shany and Cohen, rejecting claims that the attacks on Iran represent “principled” violations of international law & warning of the risks to the rule-based order. www.justsecurity.org/133417/aggre...

Aggression, Plain and Simple: A Response to Shany and Cohen on the Attack on Iran

Legal academics debate the state of international law and international institutions in light of the US-Israel-Iran War.

justsecurity.org

🧵Feels like shouting into the void, but it is essential to note that the Trump/Rubio gutting of the State Department and blowtorching of US diplomatic capacity and credibility is an accelerant to this spiraling war and will seriously undercut US/allied efforts to pick up the pieces after. 1/

In a new article, CISAC affiliates Lauren Sukin and J. Luis Rodriguez, along with colleague Stephen Herzog, challenge the idea that nuclear deterrence and disarmament are opposites, drawing on new global survey data from 24 countries. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

Rethinking the Deterrence-Disarmament Dichotomy: The Complex Landscape of Global Nuclear Weapons Preferences | Perspectives on Politics | Cambridge Core

Rethinking the Deterrence-Disarmament Dichotomy: The Complex Landscape of Global Nuclear Weapons Preferences

cambridge.org