Jenna Nobles

@jnobles.bsky.social

Migration, fertility, fecundity, population health. Personal account.

The US no longer has a refugee program. There are many nouns to accurately describe a whites-only visa, but ‘refugee program’ is not one of them. Congress created and sustained our refugee program with bipartisan support over generations. Now Congress allows one person to simply terminate it.

DDavid Wessel@davidmwessel.bsky.social · 4mo ago

As of June, all but three of the 7,730 refugees admitted into the U.S. in fiscal 2026 were from South Africa, according to newly released State Department data. www.notus.org/immigration/...

In fact, undocumented people pay into the system and never receive benefits. The Social Security Trustees build this into long term fiscal projections for the program because of how much this offsets long term debt in the program.

Post nicht verfügbar.

NEW: A spokesperson for U.S. Health and Human Services confirmed to Stateline on Friday that the agency is canceling 53 out of 67 grants, worth about $68 million, under the Teen Pregnancy Prevention Program, affecting grantees in more than two dozen states.

Federal health agency cancels most of its teen pregnancy prevention grants • Stateline

A spokesperson for U.S. Health and Human Services confirmed to Stateline on Friday that the agency is canceling 53 out of 67 grants, worth about $68 million, under the Teen Pregnancy Prevention Progra...

stateline.org

This study of four cohorts of French schoolchildren shows that the gender gap in math (girls falling behind) begins essentially immediately as soon as kids start school. They use the natural variation in kids' ages at school start to show that it's school entry, not age, that triggers the change.

Rapid emergence of a maths gender gap in first grade - Nature

Boys and girls exhibit very similar maths scores upon school entry, but a gender gap in favour of boys becomes highly significant after 4 months of schooling, which increases with years of schooling,&...

nature.com

Atheen nicely summarizes the paper. I will just add that the DCC issues we study are increasingly recognized in other contexts, e.g. discrimination www.annualreviews.org/content/jour... and demography onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1... where terminology like identity fluidity is often used.

Atheendar Venkataramani@atheendar.bsky.social · 5mo ago

1/ New #paper by Chuck Manski, @johnmullahy.bsky.social, and me in the Journal of Business and Economic Statistics (@amstatnews.bsky.social).

After the Dobbs decision, patients experiencing miscarriages in states with abortion bans have fewer choices in the type of care they get, and they are receiving lower-quality care as well. My latest: www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026...

US abortion restrictions are hindering access to miscarriage care, study finds

States with abortion bans are turning away from medications to a wait-and-see approach, with care falling below standards

theguardian.com

Mindel Sheps wrote many beautiful papers about the mathematics of demography. Her papers "On the person years concept in epidemiology and demography" in Millbank and "Shall we count the living or the dead?" in NEJM are my favorites. Also, she mentored Jane Menken!!!

American Statistical Association History of Statistics @hos-asa.bsky.social · 5mo ago

Mindel Sheps b #OTD 1913 (d 13 Jan 1973) ASA Fellow 1970. Physician, political healthcare activist, biostatistics professor, advisor to WHO, she made substantial contributions to mathematical demography but is best known for her highly influential NEJM 1958 paper on the asymmetry of relative risk.

A commentary I wrote on new research by Arun Hendi & Veronica Clevenstine showing that Black immigrant life expectancy in the US is extremely high -- high enough that increased immigration accounts for almost 15% of declining Black/White life exp gaps, 1994-2019 (pdf should be ungated at this link)

Taking heterogeneity seriously: black immigrant life expectancy in the United States

Abstract. The article by Hendi and Clevenstine (Am J Epidemiol. 2026;XXX(XX):XXXX–XXXX) documents notably high life expectancy among US Black immigrants, a

academic.oup.com

Finally, here's an absolute banger of an article, published just last month (Hoffman et al. 2026), showing how incredibly powerful the cohort patterning of influenza deaths is, in regular (not pandemic) years, corresponding to how circulating strains match up w what people were exposed to as kids

Childhood immune imprinting shapes cohort and period influenza mortality

Childhood exposure to different influenza strains shapes the age-profile of seasonal influenza mortality.

science.org

demoscapes.org is a visual atlas of demographic surfaces hosted at @mpidr.bsky.social. It is also my passion project growing out of my 2016 human mortality database explorer. Did you publish something containing Lexis surfaces? Consider reaching out and having your work featured on the site.

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Leah Abrams@leahrabrams.bsky.social · 6mo ago

Check out @jschoeley.com's very cool project: Demoscapes! It now features interactive Lexis surfaces based on our recent PNAS paper tracking cohort trends in major causes of death in the US. It's (to us data lovers) so fun! demoscapes.org/collections/...

Between 2013 and 2023, private equity ownership of US fertility clinics increased nearly tenfold, from 3.7% to over 32%, with affiliated sites responsible for the majority of #IVF cycles by 2023. ja.ma/49ubuWl

JAMA "Research Letter" displays "Trends in Private Equity Affiliations With Fertility Clinics in the US." Graphs show private equity vs. non-private equity fertility clinics and IVF cycles by year, 2013-2023. Total, private equity, and non-private equity data are shown.

Five real global health wins in 2025 1.HPV vaccination scaled faster than expected; 2. measles/rubella eliminated in several countries; 3. long-acting HIV PrEP (lenacapavir) approved; 4. progress on TB vaccines/diagnostics; 5. A promising new antimalarial. www.theguardian.com/global-devel...

Five big global health wins in 2025 that will save millions of lives

From HIV to TB, scientists and doctors made breakthroughs in treatment and prevention of some of the world’s deadliest diseases

theguardian.com