John Flournoy

@johnflournoy.science

johnflournoy.science Research Scientist, statistical and psychometric methods focus Also really into technical research infrastructure and tools. Feel free to reach out! PhD. Pysch, Neuro, Stats, Methods, Phil of Sci.

Modern-day unreality is such that you find yourself asking: is this an eldritch trick that will see me trapped in the Summer Court for a hundred years or just a really creative credit card scraping scam? At least I got ice cream out of it.

I have little to add to the chat, but I will say this: Those of us who spend a lot of time talking about politics overestimate how much other people care about, or are even familiar with, the labels we use to describe, denigrate, or celebrate candidates. Sometimes we’re high on our own supply.

I'm weirdly finding that as I get older, it's easier to learn new skills, which is the opposite of what I thought was supposed to happen. I don't think we're giving enough credit to a lifetime of built skills. When new skills have overlap w/existing ones it greases the wheels for the new.

I'm so happy to announce version 2.0.0 of my #Rstats package WeightIt is out on CRAN! New features: censoring weights, multilevel propensity scores, improved weights for continuous treatments, bias-reduced ordinal and multinomial models, M-estimation in subgroups Check out the website below!

Weighting for Covariate Balance in Observational Studies

Generates balancing weights for causal effect estimation in observational studies with binary, multi-category, or continuous point or longitudinal treatments by easing and extending the functionality ...

ngreifer.github.io

i sort of do believe in the "teleporting kills you" thing but it's that every time you go to sleep you die in real life. i refuse to address what this means about the nature of the human soul. that's somebody else's problem

Hello. If you struggle with maladaptive overachievement, and anxiety about productivity, and you experience relief at the sensation of productivity and difficulty regulating your behavior around demands for you to be productive, that doesn't make you a bad person, and that is not addiction.

We can't solve a housing crisis without building more housing. Today we broke ground on the Casanova Residence, which will soon be nearly 100 affordable and supportive homes with on-site services for New Yorkers. Every new home is a step toward a City that everyone can afford.

Mayor Mamdani stands at a podium next to Deputy Mayor for Housing Leila Bozorg.A construction worker in a neon green t-shirt and a white hard hat stands at the Casanova groundbreaking.

Bambiraptor feinbergi. Possibly a valid genus… possibly a juvenile Saurornitholestes. Possibly none of the above. I spent far too long on this one. I hope it was worth it 🫠 If the scientists could avoid reclassifying Bambi before people have seen this, I’d appreciate it. 😉 #SciArt

A digital illustration of the head neck and shoulders of a small dinosaur against and out-of-focus background. The dinosaur has a large eye and long, tooth-filled snout. Its neck is covered with wrinkly, pink skin, with its shoulders covered in dark blue-black feathers.

A dangerous wind shift (visible on radar imagery) has just occurred in #Spokane, WA, where major wildfire disaster is currently unfolding. Three separate major fires (circled) near or within city limits have already caused major structure loss & chaotic, expanding evacs. #WAwx

I've got 3 live virtual public events on YouTube scheduled over next 8 days (see recent posts for links): 1) Aug 3, 1p PT: WA wildfire disaster & bigger picture 2) Aug 4, 6p: "Super El Niño Town Hall" (CA Sen. Mike McGuire) 3) Aug 10, 1p: El Niño update: The latest forecast

18Z HRRR-Smoke model predicts wildfire smoke to cause "Unhealthy" (red) to "Very Unhealthy" (purple) AQI in the major population centers of the Pacific NW and SW BC on Tuesday as a ridge of high pressure brings NE winds. Also a major heat risk for Portland, OR, with temps in the upper 90s .

Bild

Okay thinking about things I hate for nerdy reasons (not exactly nerdy things to hate but...) look, camp fires: so much carcinogen. I love camping. I love making camp fires. But one time (maybe still), Harvard, a non-smoking campus, put a bunch of wood burning campfires in a public area!!!

Exciting day. My set-theoretic reconceptualization of the DSM (w/ MDD, GAD, and PTSD as empirical examples) is out today in JPCS, along with four invited commentaries and my response. I'm biased, but I recommend all six papers. I was really jazzed by all four commentaries. 1/25

Screenshot of a portion of the most recent TOC for the Journal of Psychopathology and Clinical Science. Shows a target article for a recent set-theoretic reconceptualization of the DSM, four invited commentaries, and a response.

nothing that involves human interaction can be orchestrated one-sidedly to preemptively ensure no harm, misunderstanding, changing of minds, blame or guilt. sorry but the whole project is wrong-headed and antithetical to what it means to be a human. there are no formulas, checklists, or guarantees.