Nicolai Berk

@nicolaiberk.bsky.social

Postdoc at ETH Public Policy Group & Immigration Policy Lab. Political Communication, Public Opinion, NLP.

Noch einmal zur Erinnerung: In Berlin gibt es seit eh und je eine stets knappe Mehrheit der Stimmen für Parteien links der Mitte. Was sich verschoben hat, sind die Kräfteverhältnisse innerhalb des linken Blocks.

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We are hiring at LMU Munich: two PhD positions and one postdoc on democracy, political psychology and computational social science. Start: January 2027 or as soon as possible. We review applications on a rolling basis until October 20. Details below. Reposts very welcome! 1/7

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Do you want to understand whether investments in public services can make democracies more resilient? Come and do your PhD with @heikekluever.bsky.social and me! We offer great conditions, a supportive team, and lots of room to develop your own ideas. Any questions? Please, do reach out!

Heike Klüver@heikekluever.bsky.social · 7d ago

📣 We're hiring! Looking for a PhD position? Join our team in Berlin! Work with @heikekluever.bsky.social and @markuskollberg.bsky.social in #STATEWORK at Humboldt University and join our @dynamics.bsky.social PhD programme Great people, great project, great city! 🗓️ Deadline: 13 October 2026

Unterschiede gibt es allerdings in der Struktur der Agrarwirtschaft und dortigen Besitzverhältnissen. Das preußische Vorpommern ist stärker von Großbetrieben geprägt, häufig in der Hand adliger Junkerschichten. Die Landwirtschaft in Mecklenburg eher von kleinbäuerlichen Familienbetrieben.

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I fully agree. It is remarkable, though, and in some ways surprising, how much political meaning will be read into this election, given MV's small electorate, just over 2% of Germany’s, and very specific local context. For the CDU in MV, the circumstances amount to a perfect storm.

Armin Schaefer@arminschaefer.bsky.social · 2w ago

The upcoming election could deal a blow to the federal government. Schwesig is campaigning against the Berlin government, making the SPD less likely to support the current policy agenda. Meanwhile, Merz appears weak and will only become weaker following a disastrous CDU result in the Northeast.

Geo-coded electoral data offers immense potential for understanding democratic processes. @dielea.bsky.social, Stefan Jünger, and I will build a research data infrastructure to support the global research community using such data with our DFG-funded project "Electoral Spaces". We are hiring!

GESIS - Leibniz-Institut für Sozialwissenschaften@gesis.org · 2w ago

#jobs #stellenangebote #GESISjobs #jobfairy Pursue your career at GESIS! youtu.be/zMY2zqYFIMg WE ARE HIRING! 👉Doctoral Researcher in election data (Salary group 13 TV-L, working time 75 %, limited to 3 years) 🔗gesis.jobs.personio....

@fabioellger.bsky.social and I are organizing an open panel on the crisis of conservative and christian democratic parties at next year's meeting of the German political science association (DVPW). We are looking forward to interesting submissions!

Fabio Ellger@fabioellger.bsky.social · 2w ago

📣 CFP | DVPW 2027 Leipzig I’m organizing two open panels: 1) Incumbency Disadvantage as the New Normal? w/ Sebastian Bukow 2) Center Right Parties and the Radical Right w/ @markuskollberg.bsky.social Papers, preprints & PAPs welcome in German or English. Message us if interested!

„Jetzt lasst sie halt mal machen?“ Die Hoffnung, die AfD werde sich in Regierungsverantwortung „entzaubern“, ist wieder da. Die wissenschaftliche Evidenz spricht dagegen. Über die Befunde meiner Studie mit @anninahermes.bsky.social habe ich mit @zeit.de gesprochen tinyurl.com/33f8vkzf

Rechte Regierungen: Jetzt lasst sie halt mal machen? – Das geht nach hinten los

Rechte Parteien entzaubern sich nicht, wenn sie regieren. Da ist die Wissenschaft sehr klar. Wer den Satz sagt, hofft auf Regeln, die für die AfD nicht mehr gelten.

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“Writing is hard.” Thrilled to share that this simple idea led to a new paper in Political Analysis! Where most text methods focus on content, I test if expression is also effortful action. I find simple measures like character counts reveal attitudes and predict voting. cup.org/4cUmoXi 1/

Text as Behavior
Text as Behavior published in Political Analysis

by Omar Wasow

Abstract

Text analysis typically focuses on content—such as sentiment or topic—but expression is also a form of effortful action. Building on this insight, I propose using simple features of open-ended tasks to study text as behavior. This approach treats expression, such as writing, as cognitively, emotionally and temporally “costly” for subjects but inexpensive for researchers. I show basic statistics like the number of characters can approximate effort and significantly improve estimation of quantities of interest, including candidate choice, the probability of turning out to vote and psychological states about which a subject may not be fully aware. Further, these methods can convert nonresponse into informative data; validate survey instruments; serve as mechanism checks; be hard for a subject to “game”; work across different languages and analogize well to real-world situations. In sum, text as behavior can help address a range of issues related to quantifying attitudes and actions.

Der Erfolg der radikalen Rechten misst sich nicht nur in Stimmen und Sitzen. Er zeigt sich in diesen Geschichten. Wir haben unsere Humanität und unseren Anstand verloren. Ersetzt von einem selbstmitleidigen Wutbürgertum. Das christilich-konservative Menschenbild ersetzt vom autoritären Nationalismus

Maximilian Pichl@maxpichl.bsky.social · last mo.

Die Bundesregierung lässt jetzt Menschen nach Afghanistan abschieben, die keine Straftat begangen haben. In diesem Fall: ein junger Afghane, der unbefristet als Beikoch arbeitet und bei einem Ausflug nicht wusste, dass Salzburg nicht in 🇩🇪 liegt. Er wurde festgenommen. www.zeit.de/politik/2026...

People gathered in Spain's Arija and Arcos de las Salinas to catch a glimpse of Europe's first total solar eclipse in 27 years

📢 I’m hiring 2 three-year postdocs at Dept of Political Science, @au.dk! Come work with me on The Politics of Shaming and Shamelessness — a new project on elite rhetoric, emotions, norms, hostility and political violence. Deadline: 31 August 2026 Start: Dec 2026–Feb 2027 Please share widely! 🙏

2 three-year postdocs in political communication and political psychology at Aarhus University - Vacancy at Aarhus University

Vacancy at Department of Political Science, Aarhus University

international.au.dk

Here's a simple idea for seeing your way through the current 'AI in academic papers' panic. If you are the author on a paper, you're not claiming you did everything in the paper yourself (whatever that could even mean), you're taking responsibility for everything claimed in the paper yourself.

I'm not sure folks have realized just how crazy the second half of 2026 and 2027 will be for global temperatures – on the back of a record-smashing El Niño event. Here is my latest estimate of where both years will end up compared to global temperatures since 1850.

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I did not expect that I could get any more disgusted with the European migration discourse. Thousands of people, desperate for a shred of the security, perspective and hope of the lives we take for granted, trying to enter the continent the right never tires to badmouth.