It is just unequivocally really really relay good that we did not nominate someone who holds a view that is representative of 5% of the Democratic Party electorate on an issue that is only increasingly divisive.

#StupidSuez@diplomatofnight.com · 28m ago

Senator is actually one of the jobs where your views on foreign policy matter most and it's a genuinely incredible thing that the Democratic candidate for Michigan is someone who wants to end aid to Israel, Egypt and the UAE and not a mindless drone who wanted to give Netanyahu another $20B.

again stevens losing with $60 million in ad spend suggests to me that she might actually have been a very weak general candidate

#StupidSuez@diplomatofnight.com · 12h ago

Unfathomable

AES’ message from now until November just needs to be Trump bad and everything sucks thanks to him, Obama good, and we’re taking money away from our beautiful car industry to fight foreign wars.

This would be a very good time to go to Francesca Hong’s website’s contact page and ask her to start running TV ads and not blowing gimme questions in interviews

A Muslim with a very Arab name running on a left-wing platform winning a statewide Democratic primary anywhere — let alone the Midwest — would have been unthinkable even a year or two ago. Now comes the hard part but this is still an incredible victory.

The decisive failure of GOP referenda in Kansas Amendment 1 and Missouri Amendment 4 yesterday is yet another reminder of something I've been saying for a while: Voters, even Republican voters, now regularly despise and repudiate GOP attempts to use them to destroy democracy.

It will never cease to amaze me how we had a panic over Mamdani far more intense than the one over a Nazi-tattooed Graham Platner, even including the last-minute collapse of Platner's campaign in the face of literal rape allegations.

ae@aelkus.bsky.social · 12h ago

i really have no patience whatsoever for people who are scared of muslims having elected office

McMorrow would have won

Centrists are trying to spin a sitting member of Congress with an 11:1 spending advantage losing as a win somehow. They should be ignored. But AES has a lot of work to do and I think we needed a bit of a punch in the face because let’s be real, we were riding a little too high.

I have to admit while doing my degree on history that living in a time that being a Nazi is not career ending is quite a shock

Just to clarify, I'm 53 and I did it 18-21 It was a very "Nazi free" period and all the better for it

In other Michigan news, the state looks set to elect it's first transgender lawmaker. Joanna Whaley won her Democratic primary and will compete in November for a state house seat, beating a primary opponent who tried and failed to disqualify her for not running under her deadname

Yes! This! We cannot treat Minnesota like it’s guaranteed because it is very much not. Lock in for Peggy!!!

Leah Greenberg ❌👑@leahgreenberg.bsky.social · 14h ago

the lesson of tonight is that everyone needs to lock the fuck in for @peggyflanagan.bsky.social

Peggy Flanagan, you have to lock tf in right now.

there will be a myth built here that Stevens ran a good campaign and the truth is anyone vaguely competent could have won with a 9-1 spending advantage and AIPAC nearly bought a senator

We need to pull out all the stops for Flanagan in the final week of the campaign. We can’t take anything for granted.

Burnham Down The House@corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 13h ago

ah fuck I forgot Flanagan is also getting blown off the airwaves. Well, now I remember.

exactly right imo

vermivorax@vermivorax.bsky.social · 14h ago

I like McMorrow - I think she picked/got stuck with bad consultants for her Senate campaign and got bad advice. I actually think that in a 2-way race against either Stevens or El-Sayed, she would have won, but in a 3-way race her lane just wasn't there.

Seems notable that Abdul is doing significantly better with rural white voters than anyone expected and is outright winning many of those counties

If you were to tell me 6 hours ago Abdul would be winning the Upper Peninsula outright I would’ve thought Abdul won this thing by 20 statewide

Yeah, it seems like literally every Michigan primary poll got the margin wrong by at least 8 points and gave the candidates completely incorrect coalitions

brent sewer socialist🚰🌹@therealbrent.bsky.social · 14h ago

So El-Sayed is doing better with Black voters and worse with white voters than most people imagined? That’ll be fun for The Discourse.

alkright that's enough vote stuff. hope whoever loses is gracious and supports their opponent full throatedly in the general. but a good reminder polls can and do miss badly sometimes, especially in primary elections.

Every progressive/lefty candidate has been immensely outspent this year Stevens is a bad candidate in campaigning terms, but is *also* actually to the right of a generic Dem, which hasn’t been true for many defeated incumbents She’s to the right of both Talarico and Crockett on some issues lmao

Themistocles’ Wall🧑🏻‍🦽👩🏽‍🦯‍➡️🧏🏿‍♂️@themistocleswall.bsky.social · 16h ago

beating $70 MM in dark money, after getting outspent 9-1, is a good victory, even if it’s by 1 vote, imo 😉👍🏼

If AES does end up winning his supporters obviously can and should feel happy But it’s still a poor performance (imo) against the second-worst establishment candidate of the year

not gonna be a doomer with this one, doing poorly with black voters in a primary doesn't necessarily portend to a poor performance with them in the general

VoteHub@votehub.com · 16h ago

Stevens+53 mail Detroit.

Looks like a 10-15 point polling miss in Michigan regardless of who wins. And people have been writing a lot of electability takes using this data. It’s dangerous out there folks be safe

This is gonna be a real close one, I feel. El-Sayed is the likely favorite to win the primary, but he needs to hit the ground running FAST against Rogers

...does anyone else think Stevens even getting within 3% is terrible news for Hong

Michigan gonna have me glued to my phone and pacing for an entire night, I’m sick

the degens and autists think the numbers are coming in ok for AES now, back up to 93% but surely gonna undershoot his polls still

AES should win because progressives do a lot better on eday (even with a lot of Wayne out), but it’s not going to be an impressive victory against a truly terrible candidate

The real impasta@therealimpasta.bsky.social · 16h ago

That being said, NYT's needle seems to think AES is gonna win?