Ryan
@ryan62.bsky.social
Election nerd he/him🏳️🌈 Former Texan turned Illinoisan
New: Trump-endorsed Navy veteran Amir Hassan lost the GOP primary to a candidate who suspended his campaign, never filed a finance report and endorsed someone else. The winner, Tom Smith, did not even make an account w/ the FEC. His handwritten letter to the agency:🧵
Current state of the gubernatorial primary composition, using the NYT's numbers. The smallest shift from 2024 margin was in Ottawa County, which is still 5 points left of where it was in 2024
Ryan@ryan62.bsky.social · 13h agoProbably the best sign for Dems last night: in every county that was under Trump+20 in 2024 but one, more votes were cast in the (relatively boring) Dem gubernatorial primary than the more competitive Republican gubernatorial primary
Probably the best sign for Dems last night: in every county that was under Trump+20 in 2024 but one, more votes were cast in the (relatively boring) Dem gubernatorial primary than the more competitive Republican gubernatorial primary
based on how close it was I legit think that Stevens would have won if she didn’t talk about how Israel comes to her in her dreams
post malone ergo propter malone@proptermalone.bsky.social · 18h agobtw if you’re ticked at AIPAC for whatever reason them spending a maximum amount of money to barely lose is ideal, 10/10, just as a pure matter of don’t-know-ball and forward outcome for them as an organization. this cycle has been catastrophic for them purely in terms of inputs and outputs
Fascinating that the UP seems to be much more progressive than other rural white-majority parts of Michigan
Dems heavily outvoted Republicans in the MI-04 (Huizenga) primary. 99.7K to 84.2K (54/46) This was Trump +6, Rogers +6 and Huizenga +12
The high-profile nature of the Senate race vs. the relatively boring Republican primaries probably had a big impact, but in completed Michigan counties Democrats are showing up at much higher rates than Republicans
Good reminder of why you shouldn’t read too much into limited results! I had assumed the initial vote drops were gonna be the most favorable to Stevens, that’s egg on my face there
Ryan@ryan62.bsky.social · yesterdayStevens isn’t even breaking 50% in Oakland *EV*? El-Sayed might sweep every county
Imagine spending two million dollars of your own money to come in third
Michigan may be technically faster than California at counting votes but at least California gives you giant vote drops immediately instead of dragging everything out over tiny updates
NEW: Republican officials were set to vote on a plan to cut almost half of Election Day voting locations in Tarrant County, a major Texas battleground county. But all that changed when outraged voters who packed the meeting room demanded their voting locations remain open.
GOP backs down from suppression scheme in Texas after voter outrage
The plan changed at the last moment, when Republican officials were faced with a massive backlash from outraged voters
democracydocket.com
Good sign of how absurdly Islamophobic Republicans are: the Trump-endorsed candidate in #MI08 is currently trailing a guy who dropped out in mid-July
Stevens seems to be doing decently well in rural areas so it won’t be a sweep but it’s hard to see a path to victory for her
Ryan@ryan62.bsky.social · yesterdayStevens isn’t even breaking 50% in Oakland *EV*? El-Sayed might sweep every county
Ironically this looks set to lose in every congressional district (it’s not even winning a county)
Stephen Wolf@stephenwolf.bsky.social · yesterdayNEW: Missouri voters have rejected Amendment 4, which Republicans had passed to make citizen-initiated constitutional amendments effectively impossible. It would have required initiatives to pass in every congressional district—not just statewide—giving the overwhelmingly red districts a veto
AP calls a DEFEAT for Kansas Amendment 1, which would have replaced the current merit-based selection of state Supreme Court justices with partisan statewide elections. GOP wanted this change to try to overturn a ruling protecting abortion rights, but voters emphatically said no.
Stevens isn’t even breaking 50% in Oakland *EV*? El-Sayed might sweep every county
Republican power grabs in Kansas and Missouri are going down in flames with 18-25% of votes reported so far. Missouri's Amendment 4 aimed to make citizen-initiated constitutional amendments practically impossible. Kansas' Amendment 1 was designed to flip the state Supreme Court to ban abortion
University of Michigan voters have a 100% El-Sayed precinct right now.
Early but if this holds, humiliating for MO R’s to be losing BRANSON this badly
Ryan@ryan62.bsky.social · yesterdayVery early but Missouri’s attempt to crush ballot measures might be heading for a landslide defeat (yes would require ballot measures to win every district, in order to stop liberal measures from winning)
Lmao El-Sayed already breaking 70% in the first drop in Washtenaw
Very early but Missouri’s attempt to crush ballot measures might be heading for a landslide defeat (yes would require ballot measures to win every district, in order to stop liberal measures from winning)
Today is Porajmos Memorial Day. Today we remember the half a million Romani people murdered by Nazi genocide. Dikh He Na Bister
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This is deadass every republican campaign ad here in the south. I'm not even REMOTELY JOKING.
Extremely funny to have a primary scramble involving a sitting US representative, the sitting State House speaker, and the first statewide runoff in state history only for the guy who is currently the governor to win renomination
Mitch McConnell being absent and safe-R seat being empty is a GOOD thing I feel like I’m losing my mind here with people furious at Andy Beshear
