Looks like a 10-15 point polling miss in Michigan regardless of who wins. And people have been writing a lot of electability takes using this data. It’s dangerous out there folks be safe
@vchapman.bsky.social
They’re calling it the most theater kid story of all time
in insane local news, the 26 year old director of a rocky horror production was arrested for sending threatening messages to himself in order to get the play shut down bc he didn’t want to deal with cast drama www.mynbc5.com/article/rock...
Fairly sober testing report from the AI Security Institute: they gave internet access and removed some guardrails from latest AI models and found without them they were capable of potentially harmful activity directed at real people and organisations www.aisi.gov.uk/blog/inciden...
Still wild to me we’re literally fighting a war entirely outside of trading hours
To quote Mark Blyth, the climate crisis is ‘a giant non-linear outcome generator with wicked convexities. In plain English, there is no mean, there is no average, there is no return to normal. It’s one way traffic into the unknown’. www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
There is no ‘getting back to normal’ with climate breakdown | Mark Blyth
As the IPCC report makes clear, there are now only unknown and unfamiliar alternative futures that we can choose from, says political economist Mark Blyth
theguardian.com
It's not going to become 'the norm' though, is it? That's what so fucking terrifying about it. It's going to become a lot worse, very quickly.
the corruption number here makes me want to turn into the joker and then, as the joker, turn into a significantly more unhinged joker
"Who's better on..." 🔵Women's Rights: D +18 🔵Environment: D +17 🔵Democratic Norms: D +10 🔵Cost of Living: D +4 🟣Political Violence: Even 🟣Wars/Terrorism: Even 🔴AI: R +1 🔴Corruption: R +1 🔴Guns Control: R +3 🔴Immigration: R +5 🔴Crime: R +14 Ipsos / July 26, 2026
the fact people are fighting about interpretations of a Homeric epic in 2026, makes me want to cry with happiness
Honestly, I love Nolan's Odysseus. The choice to reimagine the whole journey as a punishment, by himself and by the gods, for his violation of the laws of hospitality is inspired. It helps hold the story together even as the pieces of the episodic structure start to grind together.
If I’ve a complaint about the Odyssey it’s honestly that Nolan softens Odysseus way too much. He has Hector’s infant baby thrown off the walls of Troy and hangs all of his maids. He’s definitely not the type of guy to tell Penelope that she can remarry.
I think people who do not work in media have trouble grasping how genuinely terrifying it is watching organization after organization (even those ostensibly held by entities able to fund them!) continually get carved down into nothing. Lights going out all over
"Most of the affected employees were at National Geographic, both at the cable network as well as editorial and operations." 🫠
My worry is you hit a cultural inflection point where kids who would never previously have even considered cheating, who DO care about education, look at how ubiquitous AI cheating is & decide they’ll be suckers & disadvantaged if they don’t also.
Things will get worse as more students secretly use AI to do homework. There has always been a divide between those who care about education for its own sake and those who only care about grades, but AI will worsen this divide, leaving fewer people with the ability to do causal reasoning.
There's a lot of concern about the impact that LLMs are having on developing minds, and not nearly enough discussion that it might be corroding the brains of our elderly legislators.
This utter muppet of a conservative Canadian politician in New Brunswick forgot to remove the LLM text from his floor speech and read it out loud.
ME: *been calling Bluesky posts just "posts" since forever* NEWSKIE: Oh god, I hate "skeets", people should stop calling posts "skeets." ME: They're called "skeets," and I will die on this hill. It's skeetin' time!
I spend an entire semester teaching freshmen that compromise is a necessary part of politics and Ellie here just…tweets it out.
being Morally Right is not a sufficient precondition to allow a given course of affairs to happen you have to actually get buy in from society yes, even on your pet issue even trans rights even the economy and yes, even Israel/Palestine
Refuse to believe this is a real movie and not a gag from Friends
First poster for ‘EBENEZER’, a new film based on ‘A Christmas Carol’ starring Johnny Depp. “Before he was Scrooge, he was Ebenezer”
Skocpol. Skocpol. Skocpol. We have forgotten what politics is. It is not policy. That is not what moves people.
Why has DSA grown? One argument from this research: not just ideology, but organization. Strong membership plus ongoing and continuous participation in social movements creates credibility, committed volunteers, political skills, and durable electoral capacity. www.niskanencenter.org/inside-the-d...
I am endlessly fascinated by right wingers' obsession with Sparta. I can understand an initial vibes based appeal I guess - like if you opened the first page of a book on timocracy and were twelve. but the thing about history is you can find out what happened to those guys
Pete Hegseth: "We need our warriors to embrace the Spartan mindset" U.S. Military: *suffers crushing defeat to the Persians*
I think the most underestimated source of elite radicalisation is that ordinary people can call you a moron directly when you say stupid shit online. Sends wealthy and powerful people in to spirals every time.
Trump is, to borrow a term, intersectionally awful: His incompetence, bordering on an uncanny anticompetence, in each particular sphere is compounded & exacerbated by his incompetence in all the others.
Can't get numb to this: The United States is stuck in a war it started, cannot end, and may further escalate to no avail, having dismantled its diplomatic apparatus, depleted its military stockpile, and destroyed its credibility. A historic strategic mistake harming millions in many different ways.
as a dad who has also been delayed getting home to Ithaca after a work trip that wasn't a lot of fun (although professionally successful), I greatly enjoyed the Odyssey
just incredible to have a literal trillion dollars and spend your weekend crashing out because a movie you don't like was a hit
lol
Everyone's angry all the time now, we spend out time on machines that are designed to make us mad. What's that doing to our judgment?
We’re All Too Mad
I had a conversation last week with a friend about the Platner campaign after it was clear that he was going to be dropping out of the…
medium.com
Republicans just flat out retreating from adulthood is under discussed.