What's amazing about the global bond sell-off is how many people are saying rising yields are about strong growth. Seriously!? You think rising yields in Japan, France, Italy or UK are about growth? We're in a global debt shock. Not a global growth shock. robinjbrooks.substack.com/p/the-dollar...
Brad LeVeck
@bradleveck.bsky.social
political scientist at UC Merced Likes: 🌄📸, 🧠🔄🧠, 📊🧪 faculty.ucmerced.edu/bleveck
I agree with this. I've use Wikipedia as an analogy for LLMs a few times, and it's clear that people forgot the extreme hostility so many academics had to it in the early 2000s
Feel like we've all memory-holed the era where blogging, podcasts, and wikipedia were considered the equivalent of slop
Making Teenagers Read Newspapers. A Nationwide Experiment in French High Schools cepr.org/publications...
DP21706 Making Teenagers Read Newspapers. A Nationwide Experiment in French High Schools
Despite unprecedented access to information in the digital age, young citizens face growing challenges related to news consumption and misinformation. This large-scale randomized controlled trial exam...
cepr.org
My department is hiring a Tenure Stream Assistant Professor in IR with a focus on human security. It's a great position at a strong university with incredible benefits and good students. Please consider applying and sharing with your networks: apply.interfolio.com/188692
Apply - Interfolio {{$ctrl.$state.data.pageTitle}} - Apply - Interfolio
apply.interfolio.com
Open-rank positions in quantitative methods (indiana.peopleadmin.com/postings/34175) and IR (indiana.peopleadmin.com/postings/34176) at Indiana. Deadline for both is 10/1.
🚨Job alert 🚨 UVA is hiring an assistant professor in CP! Apply here 👉🏻 apply.interfolio.com/190673
Apply - Interfolio {{$ctrl.$state.data.pageTitle}} - Apply - Interfolio
apply.interfolio.com
Don't sleep on this opportunity to join my former department. The Department of Methodology at LSE is a great place to work, and London is a great place to live.
We're hiring: Assistant Professor in Computational Social Science
lse.ac.uk
Very clear demonstration of the remarkable preservation of the language network in the brains of older adults (in contrast to the MD network)! 🧠 👵
📣 New study out today! We show that the brain's language network stays remarkably stable with age — same topography, lateralization, selectivity and connectivity as in younger adults — while the domain-general multiple demand network showed altered activity patterns. www.nature.com/articles/s41...
This paper beautifully clarifies several theoretical and empirical/experimental issues on the structure of social influences on preference and choice.
Last push, for those who missed it. I promise, won’t talk about this again…
Working on a dissertation in American political behavior and need money for survey research? Apply for a grant worth up to $15,000 from the Rapoport Family Foundation. They’re planning on awarding up to 15 grants this cycle. Deadline Oct. 21. www.rapoportfamilyfoundation.com/phdgrant
Rapoport Doctoral Dissertation Grants
Supporting projects for PhD students doing political science research, democracy and social justice.
rapoportfamilyfoundation.com
Some lovely work by Peter Enns 👇 A major political science finding overturned by: 1) Simpson's paradox (i.e. collider bias) caused by 2) Dichotomization In this case, measurement & causal inference are closely linked--as they often are. medium.com/3streams/one...
One of the Most Prominent Findings in Political Science Might Be Wrong
Which means your voice matters more than you’ve been told!
medium.com
You may have been told to watch this video about the OpenAI AI hack. You really should, even if you don't usually care about any tech stuff. If nothing else, click this link to the 18 minutes in & see how the agents spoke & coordinated with each other. Its eye opening. youtu.be/87DyyMV0kCY?...
Black Hat USA 2026: The 'Breaking' News: The OpenAI–Hugging Face Incident
YouTube video by Black Hat
youtu.be
An interesting argument I have seen elsewhere: Hormuz has important implications for Europe's ability to blockade Russian oil.
In the early stages of the war, the spot Brent oil price decoupled from the front-month futures price, sparking all kinds of dire predictions and getting the $200 crowd hot and bothered. That decoupling is happening again, but no one's talking about it... robinjbrooks.substack.com/p/requiem-fo...
Hey, folks. Before your next useless convo about vibecession or vs #itsworsethantheofficialstatisticssay, consider reading this and then thinking (see reply)... siepr.stanford.edu/publications...
The way we were: Price-level shocks and consumers’ memories
Other
siepr.stanford.edu
A Demographic Theory of Similarity-Biased Social Learning. Now out in PNAS, led by the incomparable @apvelilla.bsky.social . We use modeling to explore conditions for the (cultural) evolution of parochial (and anti-parochial) learning biases. www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
yes, exactly this. if I lived in Michigan I'd probably vote for the guy myself, but the AAUP endorsement of Abdul El-Sayed is fucking dumb. no one was waiting on this to decide their vote, literally all it does is make enemies for no gain! bsky.app/profile/adis...
i will simply never get over the science op-end that said "our endorsement of democrats did nothing to help democrats but did decrease trust in scientists - and we'll do it again"
the ygelsias et al. position that every academic needs to exercise ironclad message discipline is obviously untenable and unrealistic, but I do think academics are poorly served by professional organizations, the people who should know better, being pretty tone deaf and inept.
When scientific journals started endorsing candidates, this led to a drop in trust in science and had no meaningful electoral consequences. All downside for science. No upside for the endorsed candidates.
I am not an AAUP member, but I think it is a really bad idea for the American Association of University Professors to be endorsing candidates, especially in a factional Democratic primary.
Cool new WP shows that real wage decline, rather than just inflation, is predictive of GOP vote gains in 2024. www.nber.org/papers/w35301
Wowza. Look at this chart on wildfires in France from @copernicusecmwf.bsky.social EFFIS. Red line is cumulative area burned this year; blue line is average since 2006...
You can’t message a war into being popular without changing the underlying reality. Good paper on this from Baum and Groeling. www.jstor.org/stable/40930...
Sen. John Kennedy: "I support the president in Iran. We all have to do a better job messaging."
We don't need to do this guys, Matthew Rabin already took care of it: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
Check out our new article on rebel regimes at @apsrjournal.bsky.social!
🚨 New in @apsrjournal.bsky.social! 🚨How do the origins of authoritarian regimes shape their subsequent trajectories? @kbclarke.bsky.social @jackpaine.bsky.social and I are excited to share "Rebel Victory and Authoritarian (Dis)Order" /1
🚨 New in @apsrjournal.bsky.social! 🚨How do the origins of authoritarian regimes shape their subsequent trajectories? @kbclarke.bsky.social @jackpaine.bsky.social and I are excited to share "Rebel Victory and Authoritarian (Dis)Order" /1
Markets are waking up to the fact that we're back in a "hot" war. Oil prices are rising, but are still at the low end of where they should be. In the near term, we're going back to $100 to price growing supply disruptions. Iran is overplaying its hand... robinjbrooks.substack.com/p/how-much-w...
Feels like this chart isn't getting enough attention.
After a long wait, circuit court rejects Florida’s defense of barring profs at public universities from espousing disfavored ideas in the classroom 1/
BREAKING: Eleventh Circuit, on a 2-1 vote, upholds injunction blocking Florida from enforcing its 2022 Stop WOKE Act in the university context. The majority opinion is from Judge Britt Grant, a Trump appointee: storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...