good reminder that before the counting is over, election results don’t tighten. at no point is anyone trailing. nobody moves closer. they’re just tabulating the polls. it’s a fixed number that just isn’t done yet. to say otherwise is bad journalism but even worse math.
Jay Lee
@jayleetx.com
Democracy + Elections @sightline.org (views my own) ... plus #rstats, data viz, mapping, bikes, NYC, whatever else I'm into this week
My methods training was okay to good but it definitely left me with the impression that analysis was something like 80% estimating 15% presentation 5% wrangling and it’s actually 96% wrangling
"Did you make that image for the anti-communist club fundraising email?" "Sure did, boss, and made sure to use red, too!"
Folarin Balogun, who is a US citizen because he was born here, scores a go-ahead goal for the US team in a knockout game. Score one for birthright citizenship.
i'm troubled by the election results coming out of new york city tonight. i firmly believe that no one should ever do anything
Metro areas like Houston & Phoenix grew at a much faster rate overall, than regions like New York & Washington DC. But this was not the case in those regions' already developed neighborhoods. There, the New York & DC regions grew *more quickly* than the equivalent areas in Houston & Phoenix!
Tony Bourdain taught us all that a place is full of good food, good people, and good experiences despite very shitty politics and I think it’s kind of classically American to have thought we were excluded from that Venn diagram
I thought the world cup was going to be a nightmare, but I forgot that we actually love when people like us
i'm fine with people choosing bicycles as a primary mode of transportation. in fact, there are lots of benefits to doing so. all i'd ask is that they run a gas generator or something for a couple hours a day to fulfill their commitment to the carbon footprint
Hey, during my sabbatical I made a podcast! It’s a one-shot miniseries about what happened after the world’s most ambitious upzoning campaign won. Here’s the trailer; episodes coming weekly all through June & July. You can subscribe on Apple/Spotify/etc. rss.com/podcasts/yim...
YIMBY Country | Podcast on RSS.com
In 2021, the nation of New Zealand announced the YIMBY rapture.In the country's five largest cities, you would be allowed to build up to eight-story buildings anywhere within a 10-minute walk of mass ...
rss.com
We can’t stop people from moving to the Puget Sound region. We can make policy choices to minimize the environmental impacts of growth. In the Seattle Comp Plan, that means legalizing urban infill. Build up, not out. Seattle doesn’t have room to sprawl, but other cities in the region sure can.
maybe i'm too YIMBY brained but it kinda feels like everything with AI is getting channeled through data centers because "cancelling construction projects" is unfortunately the most effective form of state capacity we have rn
the datacenter backlash is depressing because no one can imagine regulating something novel directly anymore
the dream of the 1890s will one day be alive in california
Wow, it looks like the collapse of Institutional Revolution Today (IRT - Center/Brownist) is leaving the floor clear for Everybody Movement (Center/Bay Area) to become the largest party. It's unclear whether they'll work with Not Me Us (NMU - left/Bay Area) or Accelerate! (Right/LA + VC)
the secret it to never drive a car in Seattle and visit in June when there’s approximately twenty hours of daylight and the orca whales are waving to you while you’re on the bus
Paying attention to local politics means you will regularly feel the level of burning hatred most people feel for war criminals, but directed toward a real estate agent who keeps voting against library funding
Ahoy housing wonks in Alaska and BC! Sightline is hiring part-time contributors to help advance housing abundance in these two corners of Cascadia. Please spread the word! www.sightline.org/about/careers/
Ranked choice voting elevates candidates who speak to the broadest swath of voters. In the 2022 contests for AK's US House seat, that was Mary Peltola. In 2024, it was Nick Begich. It really is that simple. New analysis of ballot data from myself and @jayleetx.com for @sightline.org below. ⬇️
#RankedChoiceVoting allows voters to express nuanced political opinions and back their favorite candidate without spoiling an election for their number two. From @alvanderklipp.bsky.social & @jayleetx.com: Cross-partisan support on Alaska ballots is a feature, not a fluke.
Top 10 neighborhoods by housing density added, 2020–25: 1—Greenpoint waterfront Brooklyn 2—East Harlem Manhattan 3—Navy Yard DC 4—Downtown Brooklyn 5—Hunters Pt Queens 6—Journal Sq Jersey City 7—Lower E Side Manhattan 8—The Drag Austin 9—Downtown Jersey City 10—LI City Queens
If folks had to guess, what 10 neighborhoods around the US added housing at the highest density levels between 2020 and 2025? (i.e., they added the most housing per square mile of land. Neighborhoods defined by census tracts.)
This week, the Supreme Court finally killed off the Voting Rights Act of 1965. I've spent the past decade studying the VRA and the attacks on it, so I thought I would offer some historical perspective, and where I think we're headed. This will be a long thread; buckle up.
“After enduring nearly a century of systematic resistance to the Fifteenth Amendment,” the Chief Justice wrote, “Congress might well decide to shift the advantage of time and inertia from the perpetrators of the evil to its victims.”
we’re not going to know in the moment but someday we are going to live through the last oil supply crisis in human history
The horse op-ed is an instant classic. I can't tell you how much joy this piece gives me. It should be taught in every introductory writing class in no small part because the horse arguments are so compelling. "I have noticed that human children get to eat cake. But I am bigger than the children."
Democratic consultants: To replicate Mamdani’s success with the young people we must appeal to their short attention spans with memes and TikTok Mamdani (actual quote): In the fifth century in what we now know as Ireland, a British warlord named Coroticus had laid waste to the countryside
Sup chat this is Slouching Towards Bethlehem with your boy The Rough Beast, and it looks like today’s stream could be a big one, as some of you might’ve already seen there are rumors going around social media that the hour has come round at last, so we’re gonna get right into it
No son, they are not "magically delicious." The workers made them delicious. This is a slogan meant to mystify the social conditions of labor
NEW VIDEO: North America’s Elevator’s Problem Elevators are absolutely essential to modern cities..... and it turns out North America kind of sucks at them. We partnered with @sightline.org to look into the many issues plaguing our elevator industry, and what it might take to fix it.
The United States has the fewest elevators in the rich world, with Canada only a bit ahead. We teamed up with @uytaelee.bsky.social of About Here Videos to investigate why, exactly, North America sucks at elevators.