I’m telling you this as a political scientist. The person who is electable is the one who is elected. This can and does change over time. Any and all speculation about “electability” is either puffery or anxiety and is often both.

Julia Azari@juliaazari.bsky.social · 20h ago

One way to be safe is to never write an electability take

On this day in 1944, the Gestapo found Anne Frank and her family in their Secret Annex. Her diary stands as a warning against hatred and persecution. Eighty years later, we should recognize the warning signs before it’s too late.🙂‍↕️

honestly can't stress enough, as a former family law attorney, how depressingly common Max Miller's behavior and words are, right down to the petty fixation on custody procedure and rules when faced with allegations of shocking violence.

Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com · yesterday

Rep. Max Miller: "When I was reported for child abuse of my daughter for a broken collarbone, my daughter was in my ex-wife's care 9 out of the last 11 days and she took her to the emergency room, which is a contempt violation from our shared parenting plan."

One more interesting point: this spring I sat down with Sharyn Alfonsi of 60 Minutes for an extensive interview about my Epstein investigation. Subsequently, CBS pulled the segment and fired the reporter. The MAGA buyout of media has unquestionably aided the Trump administration’s cover up here.

Senator Ron Wyden@wyden.senate.gov · yesterday

Bombshell new report out from my investigators this morning spanning our four year investigation into Jeffrey Epstein’s financial records. This report shows exactly how Wall Street protected Epstein and enabled his sex trafficking for decades. Mega thread following with some key points:

Bombshell new report out from my investigators this morning spanning our four year investigation into Jeffrey Epstein’s financial records. This report shows exactly how Wall Street protected Epstein and enabled his sex trafficking for decades. Mega thread following with some key points:

Deutsche Bank, JPMorgan, BofA Enabled Epstein, Wyden Report Says

Democrat Ron Wyden cited nonpublic documents held by the US Treasury in a report that says banks delayed reporting suspicious financial transactions and calls for tougher anti-money-laundering rules, ...

bloomberg.com

This is misleading. If you say the Rhine’ s “water levels drop to lowest level since 1880,” that implies that the river was this dry in 1880. But 1880 is just when we started keeping records! So what you need to say is: the river is at its lowest level since records began.

ICE already has a program that forces immigrants to download a phone app and check in via face rec, so it’s really just a choice to tag people like animals.

Ted Hesson@tedhesson.bsky.social · 2d ago

ICE is beginning to outfit Haitian immigrants with ankle monitors after the Trump admin ended their deportation protections www.washingtonpost.com/immigration/...

Me: Going to bed early to avoid some of the Tuesday-post-long-weekend blues. Dog 1: what if I frantically bark and demand to go out to pee just after you fall asleep ? Dog 2: what if I go out too, not just to pee, but to open the gate and and you need to go out in the rain to find me ?

If you're a cis person insisting that the prospect of trans children playing youth sports is not only "a problem" but in fact one of the biggest problems we currently face as a nation, I'd be happy to introduce you to literally a million other things that should be worrying you more.

I'm not going to be relitigating COVID lockdowns or mask mandates. Both were necessary measures that saved lives. If you cannot accept the curtailing of even the minor of freedoms in the name of public safety, you have demonstrated that you do not give a solitary fuck about the rest of us.

The only way forward imo, is to spread the good news of More Than One Thing Can Be True to break out of these pernicious nonsense dichotomies. For example, public health measures can be annoying and inconvenient and expensive and tedious and not 100% effective and also the best course of action.

if you hated covid "lockdowns" try long covid

Don’t make me sing it

I know we’re all supposed to find Sen. Kennedy charming. But wgen he says that “he grows anxious when he has an unexpressed thought,” it’s just a way of deflecting and refusing to tell the truth about Trump, which is that he’s a shameless and contemptible liar.

Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com · 3d ago

Sen. John Kennedy on Trump's blatant reflecting pool lies: "The president says it was caused by vandals. I don't know if he really believes that or it's part of his political messaging or he's just thinking out loud ... he grows anxious when he has an unexpressed thought."

Those who believe things like this are working hard at not understanding the finite options available to someone whose abuser has not been prosecuted, found guilty, etc. by the law. And how rarely those things happen to abusers, esp. high-status white male abusers.

The Bulwark@thebulwark.com · 3d ago

Rep. Max Miller: "These are incredibly serious criminal accusations. If these accusations were true, I would be in jail — I would be. My former wife would not have been offering to cook me dinner and inviting me to playgrounds. Think about that."

I saw someone say they should have cut off the interview but this rant with the chyron below is brutal for him

Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com · 3d ago

RFK Jr yelling at Dana Bash sounds like a rabid dog barking

You know how bad you have to be for capital one to be like, “nah we don’t wanna be messin with all that cash” my god

Reuters Legal@legal.reuters.com · 4d ago

The disclosure marks the first time a bank has formally tied money laundering concerns to Trump's family business.

A foul odor plagues a tiny Canadian town for over twenty years, but relief finally arrives. Crews in Newfoundland and Labrador begin an extensive cleanup operation to drain thousands of gallons of rotting fish sauce left behind at an abandoned factory, ending a decades-long crusade.

Rotten fish sauce that has long stunk up a small Canadian town is finally being removed

The townspeople of St. Mary’s can now breathe a sigh of relief. They are finally getting rid of the foul smell of rotten fish that has for years wafted over their tiny community in Canada’s easternmost province.

apnews.com

my new favorite genre is intelligent middle aged women being besties and gushing about their fields of expertise.

What the Heck Just Happened? With Heather and Joanne

YouTube video by Dr. Joanne Freeman

youtube.com

ICYMI: I talked to four reporters about covering wildfires and smoke, incl. specific language to use, dangers to the public, sources to contact, books to read, useful datasets and maps, plus how to prepare before the season starts and smoke arrives in your city: emergencymode.news/no-longer-ni...

No Longer Niche: How Journalists Cover Wildfires and Smoke · Emergency Mode for News

As wildfires and smoke become more frequent and widespread due to climate change, news coverage needs to be more creative, comprehensive, and anticipatory.

emergencymode.news

A Toronto man could become the 1st Canadian cured of HIV thanks to rare bone marrow treatment #Canada Experts say treatment only works in specific cases and more research is needed for a general cure www.cbc.ca/radio/toront...

A Toronto man could become the 1st Canadian cured of HIV thanks to rare bone marrow treatment | CBC News

A man known as the "Toronto patient" could become the first Canadian cured of HIV. Medical experts say it's a miraculous achievement even if only a small group of people are eligible for the treatment...

cbc.ca

August 1st marks Emancipation Day, a day to learn about and reflect on the contributions of people of African descent to Nova Scotia’s development, while recognizing the continuing legacies of historical enslavement and anti-Black racism.

Canada is like America but better in every way I love it

Hey everyone, I have some news: I'm creating a new project today called @thewatchdog.ca The Watchdog's editorial mission is to protect the public and defend democracy through original public interest watchdog journalism. Sign up here as it gets ready to launch: www.thewatchdog.ca/p/sign-up

Sign Up For The Watchdog

The Watchdog protects the public and defends democracy through original public interest watchdog journalism.

thewatchdog.ca

We've gotta make the Monorail Simpsons episode required viewing for every city councilor in the country. Every single thing he says here is a lie. A Potemkin Village Imaginarium.

Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com · 5d ago

Hassett: "Data centers are very good for towns bc they create so many jobs & bring people in with high incomes that can buy houses & stuff like that. So if you take a sleepy town that hasn't seen much in the last 30 years & put a data center there, there are gonna be a bunch of happy residents."

I mean this is fundamentally one of the big reasons why data centers have no local constituency: they don’t actually create a lot of jobs they’ll employ some folks during construction but the actual day to day operation of a data center really doesn’t need many people, especially given its size

Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com · 5d ago

Hassett: "Data centers are very good for towns bc they create so many jobs & bring people in with high incomes that can buy houses & stuff like that. So if you take a sleepy town that hasn't seen much in the last 30 years & put a data center there, there are gonna be a bunch of happy residents."

Help! My symbolism! It's so overt! And very explicit!

Sunken Nazi warships resurface as water levels drop

Scuttled German WW2 warships have reemerged from the Danube in drought-hit Europe.

reuters.com

Local media matters! "Centralized programming" is NOT the same.

Halifax ReTales@halifaxretales.bsky.social · 5d ago

a Shout out to the now former Global morning crew who had their last broadcast today Ahead of “centralized programming” LOCAL MEDIA MATTERS a huge loss for smallbiz and events

And not enough cis women realize for what our oppression is serving as a springboard

Dr. Sandra Duffy Golden@sandraduffy.bsky.social · 5d ago

Well-funded anti-trans lawfare is a positive plague, honestly.