New paper w/ @hannohilbig.bsky.social: we examine how local exposure to the Great Recession affected politics over the long run. Counties where unemployment rose more in 2007–09 moved toward Democrats, not the populist right. The shift remained visible in 2022.

🚨 Our (w/ @konboga and @nikitasavin today in Scientific Data: RED — Russian Electoral Data. Polling station-level results for every Russian federal election, 2000–2024: 1.04 million precinct-level records, harmonized into one open dataset. 🧵 nature.com/articles/s4159…

Thank you @valentimvicente.bsky.social for this evening’s lecture! Key Takeaway: Shifting the focus of research from developing a preference to expressing it reveals recent developments of increasing radical right behavior driven by individuals who already held these preferences.

Britain is about to have its seventh Prime Minister in just over a decade - but is Brexit to blame? Read my thoughts in the LSE British Politics blog @lseblogs.bsky.social ✏️ blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandp...

Is Brexit to blame for the churn of Prime Ministers? | LSE British Politics

After Keir Starmer announced he will be resigning, the UK is about to have its seventh PM since the Brexit referendum, ten years ago. That's not a coincidence.

blogs.lse.ac.uk

The first ever #EPSS 2026 football games were a great success! Thanks to @charlottekuberka.bsky.social and @vheddesheimer.bsky.social for organizing.

Terrible that Russia hit the Pechersk Lavra. I visited in 2021 while living in Kyiv for a few months - it would be similar to Westminster Abbey or St. Paul's being on fire here. We really need to up our efforts to support Ukraine with air defence, especially patriots. Slava Ukraini!

Back from hiatus with some good news: my book has come out in German! Thankful to @springer.springernature.com for publishing and to Patrick Kraft for his help with this.

🚨New paper out in @epsrjournal.bsky.social! I examine how high rental prices influence local political satisfaction in German cities. 🔎🏢 doi.org/10.1017/S175... For a preview of the results check the 🧵below👇:

⚽ EPSS 2026 Football Match We're organising a football match on Friday 19 June at Queen's Sport PEC! All skill levels welcome. Up to 3 five-a-side pitches, balls & bibs provided. Sign up by Friday 29 May 👇 forms.gle/PwYoedqu7NzF... #EPSS2026

EPSS 2026 football sign-up

A football (soccer) match for EPSS 2026 attendees on a 3G pitch at Queen's Sport PEC, 10 min bike ride or 30 min walk from the ICC. All skill levels are welcome! Sign up by Friday 29 May so we can ...

forms.gle

‼️ New paper with Ian McAllister (ANU) out at @respol.bsky.social. We use @ess-survey.bsky.social data to study over-time changes in the association between education and left-right self-placements.

Research & Politics@respol.bsky.social · 2mo ago

@rdassonneville.bsky.social & McAllister show that education divides voters less by changing opinions than by changing political labels, as immigration increasingly shapes how Europeans understand left and right. Read more here: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

New paper w/ @lstoetze.bsky.social "Estimating Treatment Effects on Proportions with Synthetic Controls" out in @polanalysis.bsky.social 👀 When your outcomes are compositional (such as vote shares), applying synthetic controls separately to each part can break the math. We show how to fix it: 🧵

Cambridge University Press Political Science & IR@cambup-polsci.cambridge.org · 3mo ago

#OpenAccess from @polanalysis.bsky.social - Estimating Treatment Effects on Proportions with Synthetic Controls - https://cup.org/4nInIjU - @bogatyrev.bsky.social & @lstoetze.bsky.social #FirstView

🚨 I'm recruiting a PhD student for a new project on Parties' social group ownership, based in the @vd-researchgroup.bsky.social research group at KU Leuven! Deadline for applying is 26 June, estimated starting date is 1 Oct 2026. All info is here 👉 www.kuleuven.be/personeel/jo... Share widely!

1 doctoraatspositie in kiesgedrag

1 PhD position to research how parties build connections with social groups

kuleuven.be

Wanna talk about the cordon sanitaire (the "Brandmauer"?) 🚨We (@christinajuen.bsky.social, @pluggedchris.bsky.social and I) have a new paper out in @cpsjournal.bsky.social 🔗 doi.org/10.1177/0010... What do we do in the paper? A 🧵: 1/7

In the months before the Hungarian election, the Danube Institute, a government-funded think-tank, distributed hundreds of thousands of dollars in an attempt to build an international echo chamber and amplify Orban. @atlatszo.hu has some of the contracts english.atlatszo.hu/2026/05/14/j...

Just before the election, the Orbán regime distributed a fortune among its foreign cheerleaders – English

We looked into the contracts of the Danube Institute, through which the previous gorvernment payments millions to the European right-wing populist movement and

english.atlatszo.hu

Be sceptical, be slow at scale, have good ideas that you execute at a high technical level. The github link for anyone interested is below. github.com/ddekadt/MY58...

GitHub - ddekadt/MY580_agentic_ai

Contribute to ddekadt/MY580_agentic_ai development by creating an account on GitHub.

github.com

LGBTQ+ voters have abandoned Labour in droves (see work by @turnbulldugarte.com). Like in other areas, Labour has sacrificed minority rights to appeal to authoritarian voters. They are now facing the consequences. People who do not identify as straight make up 8-10% of the electorate.

Heather Paterson@heatherpaterson.co.uk · 3mo ago

ILGA-Europe’s @ilgaeurope.bsky.social 2026 Rainbow Map is out today. It is a stark reminder that the UK is not just standing still on LGBTI rights, we are going backwards. Explore it here: rainbowmap.ilga-europe.org [1/7]

What do you associate with 9 May? If you asked someone in #Estonia, they're likely to give one of two distinct answers – depending on their family background. This something the @erc.europa.eu-funded project #MoveMeRU at ZOiS investigates. 🧵 👇️

From our February Issue: The Train Wrecks of Modernization: Railway Construction and Separatist Mobilization in Europe by YANNICK I. PENGL, @carlmc.bsky.social, ROBERTO VALLI, LARS-ERIK CEDERMAN and LUC GIRARDIN doi.org/10.1017/S000...

Are you working on class politics and would like to present at #SISP2026 in Trento? 🏔️ @gregoriobuzzelli.bsky.social and I are organizing a panel on Class Politics in Advanced Democracies. Submit your work! 📅 Deadline: May 29, 2026 📍 Trento, Sept 3–5 More info: lnkd.in/dZ9hwhEp

I had a really great time in Tallinn last year, attending the @ecmiflensburg.bsky.social summer school on national minorities 🙏definitely a great experience for anyone interested in the topic 💓 and the connection with the ECMI continued through my research visit in Flensburg.

European Centre for Minority Issues@ecmiflensburg.bsky.social · 3mo ago

Why is this Summer School a game-changer for researchers and practitioners alike? We asked Olga Jerjomina, alumna of the 2025 Annual Summer School on National Minorities. 👉 www.ecmi.de/teaching/sum...

🚨 New paper in the @apsrjournal.bsky.social: Nils-Christian Bormann and I propose to model the electoral effects of ethnic and other cleavages with a new *Covoting Regression Model*. A short on the method and our results on ethnic voting in Sub-Saharan Africa. doi.org/10.1017/S000...

Why I don't expect liberal democracy to go away any time soon: My article on the resilience of liberal democracy, published in @jeppjournal.bsky.social. Perfectly timed to the day after Orbáns defeat and a small spike in "democracy-optimism". There are, I argue, good reasons for such optimism.

🚨 New paper with great co-authors (@oguzhan-alkan.bsky.social @rdassonneville.bsky.social @zeynsom.bsky.social) in Political Behavior! How well do citizens perceive where parties stand? 🤔 Open access: rdcu.be/fb83Z

Glad to see this out at @epsrjournal.bsky.social! Using ESS data, Raquel Rego and I find that an anti-immigration stance is the strongest predictor of far-right sympathies among police and military personnel—similar to the general population. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

Recommended reading for anyone working on group identities and party competition!

Dr. Philip J. Howe@drphilipjhowe.bsky.social · 4mo ago

My latest with Christina Zuber and Edina Szöcsik, finally out in the @ejprjournal.bsky.social! We outline an emerging new paradigm in the study of parties and elections. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

📢Please share widely! 📢 Do you do research with Eurobarometer data? Then submit your abstract for the Eurobarometer Symposium at GESIS Cologne on March 11 and 12, 2027: www.gesis.org/en/eurobarom...

EPSS Diversity Committee is happy to announce the launch of our mentoring program: a new initiative designed to develop a new network within the EPSS community. March 31 is deadline, and program runs from May 1, 2026, to April 30, 2027. More info: epssnet.org/about/divers...

📣 Call for Applications: ECPR SGEU ECR Pre-Workshop “The Far-Right as a Social Movement in Europe” organized with @larboe.bsky.social, 30 June 2026, one day ahead of the ECPR SGEU Conference in Catania, Italy.

This will be the 3rd edition. If you study pol. behaviour and work on #CEE, this is the right place to present your research. Dates: June 25-26. Discussants include @simonhix.bsky.social & @eliasdinas.bsky.social. Highlight: roundtable on dem. erosion with H. Kriesi, M. Svolik & N. Wunsch.

EUI Department of Political and Social Sciences@eui-sps.bsky.social · 5mo ago

Call for Papers 📣 The EUI SPS Department invites submissions for the workshop “Political Behaviour in Central & Eastern Europe.” Research on elections, public opinion, parties and political participation in the CEE region. Submit by 30 March 2026 www.eui.eu/news-hub?id=... #PoliticalScience

Fascinating new paper by and @elena-amaya.bsky.social and Robert Braun on the role of folklore in shaping far-right support in Weimar Germany: journals.sagepub.com/doi/epub/10....