Stephen Buggy

@stephenbuggy.bsky.social

I work with data and on Homelessness. I am learning Portuguese. I live in Belfast

I'm on the train from Montréal to Toronto. There's just been a reminder that it is MANDATORY to use headphones when watching video. I can't believe this guys have resorted to legislation, rather than our system of having 75% of the carriage sit in murderous, futile rage.

Per most recent figures, net migration to NI *over the past 22 years* has been ~62,000 people. Only 3% of Northern Ireland’s population currently belong to an ethnic minority. Pogroms in Belfast (as with Ballymena last year) are just gutter-level "One Is One Too Many" racism, and nothing else.

If Muslims or members of the Asian and Black community had set fire to white people’s homes with children running for their lives, do you think we would be discussing legitimate concerns or focussing on who radicalised them and ideological and contributing cultural factors?

Homelessness is a housing issue: -Toronto and Vancouver have the highest rates -Halifax rockets up as the housing market breaks post COVID -Calgary declines as oil bust keeps housing market weak

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2026 Me: Hey 1996 me, in 30 years time you'll be furious at everything Tony Blair says and think John Major makes some pretty sensible points 1996 Me: Fuck, so I'm doomed to become more conservative as I get older 2026 Me: Well not exactly

I don't want to wade too much into this, but the chart going around from that FT birth rates article raised my "making causal claims from time series data" alarm. Compare the figure in the article with the raw TFR data from 1960 onward.

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Rachel Coldicutt@rachelcoldicutt.bsky.social · 3mo ago

Anyway, I am side-eyeing this, which I feel begins in an interesting enough way and then dies by a thousand charts giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... and draws some very conservative conclusions, driven by correlation, that worry me as a feminist sociotechnical researcher

Bolsonaro has now spent over 40 pages of this 107-page script in the hospital, which is probably the most accurate thing about the movie

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Day 15 of #30dayChartChallenge, correlation. Getting real stupid with it. It actually took me ages to find a source of data that would even mildly correlate. Spurious correlations are hard! Colleague: "I don't know what to say". Me: "Get me The Economist on the phone"?

A very stupid chart, which suggests that the number of Mr Blobby TV appearances moderately correlates with CPIH, a UK measure of inflation.

This story is based entirely on dodgy advisers lying to potential clients to get money out of them. The one person they actually spoke to who used this 'service' was rejected and returned to Pakistan and has since been blocked from returning to the UK.

CJ McKinney@cjmckinney.bsky.social · 4mo ago

“One immigration adviser boasted that she had spent more than 17 years helping bring fake claims and said she could arrange for someone to pretend they'd had a gay sexual relationship with a client” www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...