Johnny K

@stormchaser4850.bsky.social

*Regardless of the method or source, you should ALWAYS STAY WEATHER AWARE as weather is ALWAYS changing* (All weather, all the time) TikTOK: https://www.tiktok.com/@alwaysstayweatheraware?lang=en

Breaking News! Code: Bonkers! El Nino continues to spike towards an all-time record high anomaly, with the Nino 3.4 sea surface temperature more than 2.6°C above the 1991-2020 baseline as of August 4th, and more than 1.0C° above the previous August 4th record set in 1997.

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New: Colorado State says 2026 will be one of the quietest hurricane seasons in decades, with only 40% of normal activity! That makes me 😃 They are forecasting a total energy (ACE) of only 50 units (honestly that may be too high). The normal is 123 units. Only 2013 (36) and 1997 (41) had less. 1/

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Colorado State University just released its final predictions for the 2026 hurricane season. With the climate-change-adjusted El Niño metric at a record for this week, the forecast is no big surprise. Still, we may having something to talk later next week. ⬇️

Colorado State University Experts Release Final Predictions for the 2026 Hurricane Season

Experts continue to forecast a “well below-average” Atlantic hurricane season in 2026, including below-average odds of a major U.S. hurricane landfall

michaelrlowry.substack.com

In the month of August, Tropical Activity tends to ramp up. Most of the storms develop in the orange and red areas. Over the last 100 years, over 70 systems developed just east of the Lesser Antilles. This year with El Niño, activity should remain low.

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Dangerous and extreme heat will persist across the Southwest U.S. through tomorrow, before slowly migrating eastward across the central Plains and southeastern U.S. by this weekend. Monsoonal showers will help bring some relief from extreme temperatures across portions of the Desert Southwest.

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Breaking News! Code Bonkers! As of August 3rd, Nino 3.4 has crossed 2.5°C above the 1991-2020 baseline. The Climate Casino predicted August 1st for this crossing and now has a lot of fake-bets to pay out. Was the fix in? Next up, 3.0°C by August 21st.

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Extreme heat continues across the Southwest. Temps may top 120. The heat may expand across the West and south-central US into mid-month. Air quality alerts & red flag warnings are also in place across portions of the West. Exposure to both smoke & heat can be a greater health risk than either alone.

Compounding Hazards: Heat and Wildfires. Exposure to both smoke and extreme heat at the same time can pose a much greater health risk than either one alone. Heat and Smoke Safety Tips: (1) stay indoors: remain in cool, filtered air; (2) limit activity: plan necessary tasks for cooler, cleaner times; (3) hydrate: drink water frequently; (4) mask up: use a well-fitting N95 outdoors; (5) monitor health: if feeling unwell, move indoors and seek help.

Wildfires rage in the Pacific Northwest over the last several days. The Tartar fire in Idaho is over 100,000 acres after exploding in size overnight Saturday, while dangerous wildfires encroach on the city of Spokane, destroying hundreds of structures and prompting evacuations.

Hot everywhere: The Climate Prediction Center gives us nowhere to go in the U.S. to escape abnormal heat in the Aug. 8 to 12 period. Only a tiny slice of southwestern Alaska is expected to be near normal.

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Earth is now warming faster than at any point in recorded geological history - around 10 times faster than the extreme warming event 56 million years ago and 20 times faster than at the end of the last ice age. We are almost certainly in a new extinction event.

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