Bryce Maschino

@bmaschino.bsky.social

Posts about weather, supply chain, and social justice issues. And also cats. KR4GON 📻📡 Orlando, FL He/him

A quick glance into the Hurdat2 dataset suggests that Rachel and Simon are about to become the first pair of named storms to come ashore on the same day in the Eastern Pacific since continuous records began in 1949. A pair did it in 2011, but one was a Tropical Depression that was never named.

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The Atlantic might not be done? DeepMind has been showing higher chances of development in the western Caribbean or southern Gulf as early as next weekend. Climatology says storms that form there most often affect the Caribbean or south Florida. We’ll see.

DeepMind ensembles showing around a 24% chance of tropical development in 9-13 days over the western Caribbean or southern Gulf. Tracks are all over the place and include potential landfalls throughout the Gulf Coast and western Caribbean.  Climatology for tropical systems that form between October 11-20 in the east Pacific and Atlantic basins.

El Niño is fueling record-breaking sea surface temperatures (SST) off the coast of SoCal. Warmer-than-normal seas take up more volume and push tides higher. SST anomalies of +13F along the coast of Baja California will aid the intensification of Tropical Storm #Rachel as it approaches land.

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Sequence of OFCL and Google DeepMind forecasts verifying ~at the time of landfall for Isaias. GDMI was never more than ~50 nm to the left of landfall and never more than ~4 h slow - very consistent and impressive. OFCL started with larger left and slow biases but corrected them very quickly.

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New @who.int update on the suspected plague case in Russia: „The NFP [National Focal Point] informed WHO that the case and all contacts had been tested for a range of microorganisms, including high-threat pathogens. Test results were negative for the tested high-threat pathogens.“

President Donald Trump fumed at the Norwegian committee that awards the Nobel Peace Prize, saying that the fact it didn’t go to him “is just another sign of how Norway and all these others are ripping off our country”

Trump Warns Norway He Won’t Forget Nobel Peace Prize Snub

President Donald Trump fumed at the Norwegian committee that awards the Nobel Peace Prize, saying that the fact it didn’t go to him “is just another sign of how Norway and all these others are ripping off our country.”

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An Extreme Wind Warning has been issued for portions of the Florida Panhandle as #Isaias approaches. Hurricane force winds are imminent in these regions. Treat this as you would a tornado warning and get into your safe place immediately!

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10/9/26: A Tornado Watch is in effect for parts of the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend, far southwest Georgia, and far southeast Alabama until 9pm EDT. The tornado risk will continue increasing this afternoon as rainbands associated with Isaias continue spreading northward.

Tornado Watch -- Valid until 0900 PM EDT   Overlay Text:   Header: Tornado Watch -- Valid until 0900 PM EDT   Footer: Updated: 10/09/26 01:24 PM EDT | More Information: www.spc.noaa.gov   Logos: Storm Prediction Center, NOAA   Locations Labeled: Gulf Shores, Mobile, Pensacola, Crestview, Panama City, Apalachicola, Dothan, Bainbridge, Tallahassee, Perry, Valdosta, Chiefland, Lake City, Gainesville, Ocala, Tampa.   Map Description:   
A severe weather map from the Storm Prediction Center showing a yellow region outlined in red denoting a Tornado Watch. The watch area spans coastal and inland portions of the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend (including Pensacola, Panama City, Tallahassee, Perry, and Chiefland), extreme southern Alabama (Gulf Shores), and southwest Georgia (Bainbridge and Valdosta).