Wanna talk about the cordon sanitaire (the "Brandmauer"?) 🚨We (@christinajuen.bsky.social, @pluggedchris.bsky.social and I) have a new paper out in @cpsjournal.bsky.social 🔗 doi.org/10.1177/0010... What do we do in the paper? A 🧵: 1/7
Jochem Vanagt
@jochemvanagt.bsky.social
Political Scientist at KU Leuven & University of Antwerp affective polarisation, radical-right voting & democratic support https://jochemvanagt.github.io
Very happy to see this out in @bjpols.bsky.social The last paper from my dissertation has found a home
NEW - How Violations of Electoral Integrity Undermine Partisan Attachments - https://cup.org/4rkKiPC - @aarslew.bsky.social #OpenAccess
🌀 💡 Coalition politics in the spotlight 🗳️ @jochemvanagt.bsky.social & @markuskollberg.bsky.social (@ecprpovb.bsky.social) show that coalition governments bring voters of different parties closer together only if people believe those coalitions are doing a 👍 good job. ➡️ bit.ly/4k0lKs3
Coalition governments reduce partisan animosity — but only if they perform well
Jochem Vanagt and Markus Kollberg show that coalition governments bring voters of different parties closer together only if people believe those coalitions are doing a good job. When voters think…
bit.ly
📢 Call for papers on political polarization! @eelcoharteveld.bsky.social and I warmly invite you to our workshop on political polarization at the Politicologenetmaal in Ghent, Belgium on 11–12 June. Submission deadline: 15 March 2026 More information: politicologenetmaal.eu/workshops-20...
Workshops 2026 – Politicologenetmaal 2026 in Ghent
politicologenetmaal.eu
PhD successfully defended! "Beyond the Two-Party Divide" examines how affective polarization works in Europe, and when it matters for democracy. Short answer: Europe's multiparty systems have particularly good "safeguards" to prevent polarization from spiraling out of control like in the U.S.
‼️ New paper out at @electoralstudies.bsky.social with the fantastic Valentin Pautonnier, Michael Lewis-Beck and Richard Nadeau! doi.org/10.1016/j.el... A short 🧵 on what it's about and what we find
Redirecting
doi.org
Can reflecting on past democratic backsliding episodes “inoculate” citizens into vigilant liberal democrats? Drawing on the Slovak case, @movadek.bsky.social & I will find out: our registered report is in-principle accepted @thejop.bsky.social & survey results forthcoming! See tinyurl.com/uv5wybhs
New publication with @turnbulldugarte.com in @psrm.bsky.social! 🧵 We study whether citizens’ liberal values are selective: do people support policies based on who promotes them? Short answer: Yes, and it's driven by ethnic out-group disidentification. (1/11) 👇 doi.org/10.1017/psrm...
🇪🇺🇩🇪 Published Today in @bjpols.bsky.social 🇮🇹🇫🇷 How a voting advice application affected voting behavior in three large-scale field experiments: shorturl.at/2ekBj TLDR of our study (with @simonhix.bsky.social & @rlachat.bsky.social) below 👇 1/14
If the articles from my PhD were my children this article now published in @bjpols.bsky.social is my favorite. Written together with truly amazing supervisors and mentors, Pieter de Wilde, Oliver Treib, and Lene Aarøe, I had the support I needed in bringing this baby into the world. Summary below 👇
NEW - Venturing Beyond the Vote: Routes to Feeling Represented through Unelected Representation - cup.org/4lkNXKt - @andreavik.bsky.social, @pieterdewilde.bsky.social, Oliver Treib & @leneaaroe.bsky.social #OpenAccess
Join us on 23 January in Leuven for Rune Stubager’s keynote on the enduring impact of social class on political behaviour in Western democracies! You can register below 👇
The Voting and Democracy Research Group welcomes Professor Rune Stubager (Aarhus University) for a keynote presentation. 🗓️ Friday 23 January 2026, 11h00 📍 Aula Emma Vorlat (campus Faculty of Social Sciences KU Leuven) ℹ️ Info: lnkd.in/dMvzG36U 📝 Registration (by 14 January 2026): lnkd.in/dZ3ZBSGh
🚨Publication Alert! My first first-author publication with @msaeltzer.bsky.social and @pluggedchris.bsky.social is out in @polbehavior.bsky.social, which began as my bachelor's thesis. We study how party polarization shapes affective polarization—with a particularly important role of the AfD. (1/7)🧵
Excited to share a new preprint with @bnbakker.bsky.social, @ylelkes.bsky.social & @gijsschumacher.bsky.social! doi.org/10.31234/osf... Affective polarization research focuses almost exclusively on valence, despite affect having at least two core dimensions. We show that emotional arousal matters!
OSF
doi.org
Happy that our paper with @bogatyrev.bsky.social, @tabouchadi.bsky.social, @heikekluever.bsky.social, and @lstoetze.bsky.social found a home at @thejop.bsky.social. You can read it here 👇 www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/... Thanks to all the fantastic people giving feedback and supporting us
The Electoral Effects of State-Sponsored Anti-LGBTQ Measures | The Journal of Politics: Vol 0, No ja
journals.uchicago.edu
New working paper! In this research note, @bogatyrev.bsky.social, @tabouchadi.bsky.social, @heikekluever.bsky.social, @lstoetze.bsky.social, and I present the first systematic test that causally identifies the electoral consequences of state-sponsored homophobia: osf.io/preprints/os... 🧵Thread
AI presents a fundamental threat to our ability to use polls to assess public opinion. Bad actors who are able to infiltrate panels can flip close election polls for less than the cost of a Starbucks coffee. Models will also infer and confirm hypotheses in experiments. Current quality checks fail
‼️ Onze onderzoeksgroep @vd-researchgroup.bsky.social verwelkomt dit academiejaar @bramwauters.bsky.social als Francqui leerstoelhouder! 📆 Het openingscollege gaat door op 2 dec om 17u30 Voor meer info en om in te schrijven voor dit *niet te missen* college, zie hier soc.kuleuven.be/afdeling-pol...
Now out in Party Politics 🎉 Our study (@jbpilet.bsky.social)suggests that when a mainstream right-wing party signals willingness to rule with the radical right, support for the radical right rises — while the mainstream gains nothing. 👉 A legitimisation effect. journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
💡 Edwin Jans, @rensvliegenthart.bsky.social, @skruikemeier.bsky.social en ik schreven een opiniestuk over polarisatie in Nederland, vandaag in @parool.nl 👇📰
Opinie: ‘Zo gepolariseerd is Nederland helemaal niet – maar dit hardnekkige beeld heeft wél gevolgen’
🆕 Deservingness perceptions & candidate support 👥 #GroupAppeals help connect #VoterIdentity 🧩 to voting choices 🗳️ – @rdassonneville.bsky.social, Rune Stubager & Mads Thau want to know if this appeals to other social groups 📣 📖 #OA
How group appeals shape candidate support: The role of group membership, identity strength, and deservingness perceptions | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core
How group appeals shape candidate support: The role of group membership, identity strength, and deservingness perceptions
buff.ly
Really excited that after several years of working on it, revising, and getting lots of rejections, our paper (w/ Rune Stubager & Mads Thau) on citizens’ responses to group appeals is *finally* out @ejprjournal.bsky.social www.cambridge.org/core/journal... A 🧵 on our findings...
How group appeals shape candidate support: The role of group membership, identity strength, and deservingness perceptions | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core
How group appeals shape candidate support: The role of group membership, identity strength, and deservingness perceptions
cambridge.org
Politicians don’t just care how many people hold an opinion — they care how good that opinion is. In our new (open-access) article in West European Politics, based on survey data from 900+ politicians across 11 countries, we show: quality > quantity. Read more: doi.org/10.1080/0140...
🚨 New publication out @jeppjournal.bsky.social w/ Katrin Praprotnik @luanarusso.bsky.social @markuswagner.bsky.social We show that coalition signals from the mainstream right to the radical right shift, rather than reduce, existing political divisions. Open-access article: doi.org/10.1080/1350...
Happy to see that my paper w\ @jochemvanagt.bsky.social now has issue- and page-numbers. Also check-out our post @ecprtheloop.bsky.social to learn more about why unsuccessful coalitions - like those that we see across the EU right now - do not mitigate polarization! theloop.ecpr.eu/coalition-go...
Coalition governments reduce partisan animosity — but only if they perform well
Jochem Vanagt and Markus Kollberg show that coalition governments bring voters of different parties closer together only if people believe those coalitions are doing a good job. When voters think coal...
theloop.ecpr.eu
📘 64.4 ✅ Coalition governments reduce affective #polarization when perceived as successful; ❌ when seen as failing, they increase polarization says @jochemvanagt.bsky.social & @markuskollberg.bsky.social #OA #PoliSky 🔗
📘 64.4 ✅ Coalition governments reduce affective #polarization when perceived as successful; ❌ when seen as failing, they increase polarization says @jochemvanagt.bsky.social & @markuskollberg.bsky.social #OA #PoliSky 🔗
United in success, fragmented in failure: The moderating effect of perceived government performance on affective polarization between coalition partners
JOCHEM VANAGT, MARKUS KOLLBERG
ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
🚨 New working paper alert 🚨 Missing summer — and the Tour de France? Don’t worry, we got you covered. 🚴♂️🚴♂️🚴♂️ In this paper, we show that being on the route of Tour de France reduces far-right voting. osf.io/preprints/so...
What do citizens imagine their political opponents to be like? Polarization is real, but it also lives in our heads, fueled by stereotypes. We asked people in 🇧🇷, 🇬🇧, 🇩🇪 & 🇵🇱 to describe opponents in their own words. With @jnareal.bsky.social, @markuswagner.bsky.social & @piotrmarczynski.bsky.social 👇
OSF
doi.org
Radical right accommodation really does not work. New paper out with this exceptionally talented team @katharinalawall.bsky.social @robjohns75.bsky.social @drjennings.bsky.social @sarahobolt.bsky.social @zachdickson.bsky.social @danjdevine.bsky.social & @jack-bailey.co.uk doi.org/10.31235/osf...
Returning from vacation and looking for a late summer read? @ivobantel.bsky.social and I got you covered! In our new @wepsocial.bsky.social paper, we assess how mainstream parties rhetorically create an affect-based "common front" against the radical right. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
We have a new paper out in @jepsjournal.bsky.social, with @laiabalcells.bsky.social, @sergisme.bsky.social and Ethan vanderWilden. We test a number of experimental treatments aimed at strengthening social norms against radical-right support, but find mostly null results. 1/3
#OpenAccess from @jepsjournal.bsky.social - Re-Stigmatizing the Radical Right: A One-Way Street? - cup.org/45s4Huh - @laiabalcells.bsky.social, @sergisme.bsky.social, @valentimvicente.bsky.social & Ethan vanderWilden #FirstView
Online first: "Defending democracy: investigating the efficacy of elite democratic defence in a competitive information environment" by @jmvanlit.bsky.social & @mauritsmeijers.bsky.social doi.org/10.1080/0140... #Academicsky #Polisky