again stevens losing with $60 million in ad spend suggests to me that she might actually have been a very weak general candidate
Unfathomable
again stevens losing with $60 million in ad spend suggests to me that she might actually have been a very weak general candidate
Unfathomable
"Bidenomics was directionally correct but insufficiently ambitious" is a take I'm surprised I haven't seen much of, because the argument for it has been pretty straightforward since November 2024
The conventional wisdom is the Democrats' big climate law failed to deliver votes and then died. That's wrong. My new study finds its factories moved 2.5 million votes—more than Trump's margin. And the law's still alive. My latest in @theatlantic.com. Gift link! www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/0...
The conventional wisdom is the Democrats' big climate law failed to deliver votes and then died. That's wrong. My new study finds its factories moved 2.5 million votes—more than Trump's margin. And the law's still alive. My latest in @theatlantic.com. Gift link! www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/0...
Bidenomics Was More Successful Than People Think
Conventional wisdom holds that Joe Biden’s bet on climate investment was a bust. The data suggest otherwise.
theatlantic.com
A reminder of Dr Stephenson’s approach to her work: bsky.app/profile/jord...
This was a particularly revealing moment. Stephenson says that it’s not on service providers to police toilets but Kirkpatrick says that service providers have the obligation to uphold the law - when Sarah Owen presses them on how those things are reconcilable they just flounder.
Mary-Ann Stephenson, resign!
Our code of practice for services, public functions and associations comes into force today. It provides practical guidance on how the Equality Act 2010 applies to services, public functions and associations. Find out more: https://ow.ly/alIf50Zwrkx
One of my most paradoxical takes is I will always be a Sunrise Movement defender bc I’m fucking tired of ppl ignoring how bad liberal climate politics were pre-Sunrise Robinson Meyer wrote how unprepared Dems were in 2017- Sunrise changed that! www.theatlantic.com/science/arch...
Democrats Are Shockingly Unprepared to Fight Climate Change
There’s no magic bill waiting in the wings—and no quick path to arriving at one.
theatlantic.com
These three candidates in Michigan came for the establishment. They all just won. A movement is building.
Wow, an Edwards getting into a sex scandal in North Carolina?
GOP Rep. Chuck Edwards drops reelection bid over sexual harassment claims
DLGA has spent a fair amount for Peggy, so she's not outspent by the same margin Abdul was, but I'm still kind of worried
Missouri elections be like: Hitler (R) 79% - Christ (D) 21% And then the ballot initiative: Amend the Missouri constitution to require the state to own the means of production and work towards full communism? Yes 92% - No 8%
Perhaps the most breathtakingly racist election result since David Duke won the primary for governor.
Seems like an upset might be brewing in the GOP primary in #MI08 to take on Dem Rep. Kristen McDonald Rivet. Trump endorsed Amir Hassan, but he currently trails an absolute nobody who suspended his campaign a month ago by a wide margin.
There are 6 days until polls close on August 11. This election is too important to sit back or sit out. Make your plan to vote, then send this post to three friends & make sure they have a plan to vote on or by August 11! MNVotes.org
Putting aside the bigger questions, why humanoid in a factory?
$SPCX - SPACEX PLANS MOON FACTORIES POWERED BY HUMANOID ROBOTS
Pretty sure when you win the election it's a big election night. Pretty sure when your party's leadership all endorses the loser, it means the leadership is out of touch with the electorate.
Progressives didn’t get the big election night they wanted
and what are the means by which you do that, Kashkari
FED'S KASHKARI: MY GOAL IS NOT TO SLOW ECONOMY, MY GOAL IS TO BRING DOWN INFLATION - CNBC
In other Michigan news, the state looks set to elect it's first transgender lawmaker. Joanna Whaley won her Democratic primary and will compete in November for a state house seat, beating a primary opponent who tried and failed to disqualify her for not running under her deadname
Yes! This! We cannot treat Minnesota like it’s guaranteed because it is very much not. Lock in for Peggy!!!
the lesson of tonight is that everyone needs to lock the fuck in for @peggyflanagan.bsky.social
no matter the margin this is one of the worst, most disgraceful campaigns in the modern history of the democratic party. abdul can't say it because he has to make nice with these racist freaks so I fucking will.
Good evening. "2026 Michigan Democratic primary for United States Senate" was an 18 month sociological study conducted by the University of Michigan. Our study is now complete, thank you for your time.
Wayne margin down to Stevens +13, which I am much more comfortable with
if nothing else another big night for the "polling in the no-one-picks-up-their-phone-anymore Era is cooked" take
Looks like a 10-15 point polling miss in Michigan regardless of who wins. And people have been writing a lot of electability takes using this data. It’s dangerous out there folks be safe
Polling in the United States is fundamentally broken insofar as I’m not sure how you’d can trust it by an reasonable measure at this point, and I’m also not sure how you fix the deficiencies causing this since its been a decade and polling still isn’t reliable
Looks like a 10-15 point polling miss in Michigan regardless of who wins. And people have been writing a lot of electability takes using this data. It’s dangerous out there folks be safe
Main takeaway from Michigan so far is that heaps of money and rabid islamophobia has mobilized a depressing number of votes for Stevens, even in the likely event she comes up short.
Based on current returns, Stevens needs at least +20 margin out of Wayne to close the gap. Could narrow based on the e-day - absentee breakdown She’s at +1 right now