litho

@lith5.bsky.social

she/her

The conventional wisdom is the Democrats' big climate law failed to deliver votes and then died. That's wrong. My new study finds its factories moved 2.5 million votes—more than Trump's margin. And the law's still alive. My latest in @theatlantic.com. Gift link! www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/0...

Bidenomics Was More Successful Than People Think

Conventional wisdom holds that Joe Biden’s bet on climate investment was a bust. The data suggest otherwise.

theatlantic.com

In other Michigan news, the state looks set to elect it's first transgender lawmaker. Joanna Whaley won her Democratic primary and will compete in November for a state house seat, beating a primary opponent who tried and failed to disqualify her for not running under her deadname

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Good evening. "2026 Michigan Democratic primary for United States Senate" was an 18 month sociological study conducted by the University of Michigan. Our study is now complete, thank you for your time.

Polling in the United States is fundamentally broken insofar as I’m not sure how you’d can trust it by an reasonable measure at this point, and I’m also not sure how you fix the deficiencies causing this since its been a decade and polling still isn’t reliable

G Elliott Morris@gelliottmorris.com · 20h ago

Looks like a 10-15 point polling miss in Michigan regardless of who wins. And people have been writing a lot of electability takes using this data. It’s dangerous out there folks be safe

Main takeaway from Michigan so far is that heaps of money and rabid islamophobia has mobilized a depressing number of votes for Stevens, even in the likely event she comes up short.