ubi cedunt, vincere se appellant

@pt109.bsky.social

International security | democratic backsliding | occasional exasperation

noted this in morning piece. like any winning candidate in a rough primary, AES needs to coalesce Ds behind him. Involves outreach, etc. But one of the best ways to consolidate Democrats is to land punches against Republicans. Not just going on the attack but showing that your punches are landing.

Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com · 4h ago

El-Sayed: "If all Mike Rogers got is that 'his name is Abdul, and my name is Mike,' you're gonna be surprised how many people are like, 'Yeah, but that's the Abdul who wants to bring down the price of my groceries and make sure I got healthcare. So yeah, I like Abdul over your Mike from Florida.'"

Fascinating that UBL, as evil and misguided as he was, believed that American democracy would prevent a quagmire. A testament to “branding” we’ve since lost. But to this day, I believe the light footprint strategy in AFG = original GWOT sin, and the war should have ended w/ success at Tora Bora.

Joe Stieb@joestieb.bsky.social · 5h ago

www.theatlantic.com/magazine/202... Interesting piece that cites scholars who refute the myth that in doing 9/11 UBL intended to draw the US into a series of quagmires rather than spark a Beirut-like bugging out of the Middle East.

Looks like a 10-15 point polling miss in Michigan regardless of who wins. And people have been writing a lot of electability takes using this data. It’s dangerous out there folks be safe

this is clickbait garbage a) it wasn't ~dronez~ stuff, it was the same vanilla GPS jamming that has occurred at WSMR for decades b) a crew should *absolutely* be capable of conducting a nonprecision approach to an ILS, *ESPECIALLY* if there's a NOTAM out for PNT jamming

Katie Drummond@katie-drummond.bsky.social · 6d ago

A routine medical flight, on a clear night, ended with a plane crash that killed all four people onboard. Investigators say it's the first known US civilian plane crash tied to electronic warfare. This won't be the last story of its kind. A must-read from @jeffwise.bsky.social for @wired.com

“Mr. Trump is hardly the first U.S. president who has struggled to read Iran… Most have come up short; some have been burned badly. A rare exception is President Barack Obama, whose 2015 nuclear deal with Iran was a 20-month diplomatic effort.” I can’t argue with the Times on this one.

Brian Finucane@bcfinucane.bsky.social · 22h ago

Foreign leaders can be so difficult when you kill their families and launch surprise attacks on their countries. www.nytimes.com/2026/08/04/u...

My sense is reuters has sources (again) conflating in theater with global stocks and also kind of comingling ATACMS and PrSM fwiw the amount of people who actually know what they're talking about wrt muns stockpiles is very small, not bc it's some big secret but bc most people don't pay attention

Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) carried out an attack on a US base in Kuwait using three drones, according to a source familiar with the matter.-i24 News

Continuing my Korean War/Halberstam posting: It’s hard to convey how malignant Douglas MacArthur was, how anti-democratic, what a persistent threat to civil-military relations. Conversely, George Marshall was a man of towering integrity and wisdom.

To add on to the history here. Much of the "bioweapons panic" comes out of 1990s testimonials after the fall of the Soviet Union. In the aftermath, many in the West (not least in the National Security establishment and the prestige journalist space) went looking for the next big scary thing.

Calliope@calliope5431.bsky.social · 3d ago

The breathless coverage is almost more insulting than the book itself, including a *New Yorker* article which cheerfully talks about the doomsday scenario of "smallpox bacteria" (it's a virus) being spliced with other pathogens, and the "horror" of a 2019 fire at VECTOR (which did nothing).

Still can’t over the fact that the president of the United States just told an entire state to pound sand after getting cyberattacked by a foreign adversary because they didn’t vote for him and it was treated like a Tuesday lol

“Sandwich guy case” “Harvard clawed frog embryo smuggling case” “Olympic canoeist reflecting pool vandalism case” “James Comey seashells Instagram post case” New rule: If the case sounds like a Mad Libs story, it’s probably about to implode.