Blackgaynerd

@blackgaynerd.com

A Third (Greater) Reconstruction for a Fourth American Republic. (they/them)

Outside of the races for Congress, progressives had a very good night in Michigan. They won multiple open legislative seats against establishment-backed opponents in Grand Rapids, Lansing, Kalamazoo, and Detroit. The DSA also flipped a seat in Detroit!

SB 79 at one month: 1) Very encouraging signs of developer interest in actually using the law 2) New projects are all in high resource areas with exclusionary histories 3) We won’t see the full impact in most of the state’s biggest cities for another 5 year 4) Beverly Hills is on some bullshit

Aaron 🏗️🚲🌲🏀@aceckhouse.bsky.social · 2d ago

Most cities are doing their best to follow the law, but some are not. The worst is probably Beverly Hills, which is trying to use a shell game to disappear nearly 3,000 homes worth of zoned capacity. HCD should have nipped this in the bud, but there's still time for them to bring down the hammer.

Beverly Hills was the first city to propose a local TOD alternative plan, which are allowed under SB 79. The core logic of those plans is straightforward: The city can move some of the zoned capacity from one place to another; the alternative plans are then reviewed and certified as compliant by the California Department of Housing and Community Development (HCD). 

But Beverly Hills is trying a shell game by which they just make that zoned capacity disappear instead.

A local alternative plan under SB 79, also referred to as an “Eckhouse Plan,” must maintain the same “net zoned capacity” as the state zoning standards. Net zoned capacity is calculated by subtracting the density & floor area of existing uses from the capacity allowed by the zoning. 

Since the law requires cities “maintain at least the same total net zoned capacity” between SB 79 and the local alternative plan, the city should do that on both sides of the ledger: subtract existing uses from SB 79’s capacity, and from their local plan’s capacity. 

Instead, Beverly Hills calculated net zoned capacity from SB 79, and then compared that to the total zoned capacity of their local plan. The result: overcounting their local plan’s capacity by nearly 3,000 homes, or 15% of the total capacity.

Most troublingly, HCD did not address this problem in their initial review of the city’s alternative plan. We will continue to work with HCD and other stakeholders in Beverly Hills to ensure that their final Eckhouse Plan is compliant with the letter of the law.

Missouri Republicans tried to make voter-initiated constitutional amendments impossible by requiring passage in every congressional district instead of just statewide. Voters rejected the amendment in not just every congressional district but every county too. Trump won all but four counties there

New York Times election results graphic for Missouri's Amendment 4. "No" is marked with a check as the winner, with 1,123,264 votes, or 80.3%. "Yes" has 275,157 votes, or 19.7%. Total reported: 1,398,421.

Below, a county map of Missouri shades results from teal for Yes to orange for No, with the darkest shades indicating margins of 70% or more. Kansas City, Columbia, St. Louis, and Springfield are labeled. Every county is shaded orange for No, and no county is teal. The great majority are at the darkest orange level of 70% or more, including all counties around Kansas City, Columbia, St. Louis, and Springfield. A cluster of lighter-orange counties in the 60-percent range appears in the northeast, with a few scattered lighter counties in the south-central and southeastern parts of the state.
Stephen Wolf@stephenwolf.bsky.social · yesterday

NEW: Missouri voters have rejected Amendment 4, which Republicans had passed to make citizen-initiated constitutional amendments effectively impossible. It would have required initiatives to pass in every congressional district—not just statewide—giving the overwhelmingly red districts a veto

The Stevens mods need to wake up and understand just how out of touch they are with the electorate. Not even an ocean of cash could help. The AES progs, on the other hand, act like they already won the general election. Folks, this was the easy part. The hard part comes now. /1

This is also an underappreciated reason we live in a gerontocracy. No company is giving you leave to campaign and with term limits in many states, you best case have a job for around a decade. Meanwhile, old people are bored and have infinite time, plus a lot of money usually!

Kate Sills@katelynsills.com · yesterday

I think voters don't realize being a candidate is unpaid, and even if you win, the pay isn't great for the stress level and the "reward" is being a regular speaker at Elks Lodge & the Farm Bureau.

First results in the Michigan #HD02 primary just dropped: Joanna Whaley- 56.4% Frank Liberati- 33.7% Gary Schlack- 9.9% Whaley, the evangelical pastor-turned-trans activist, gets out to an early lead

2024 kinda killed the idea of WA as a national bellweather but it’s good for predicting itself and results seem broadly very strong for Dems